Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 3
Europa Conference League · Thursday 5 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe · updated 2026-10-22
Getafe welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Coliseum Alfonso Pérez in Getafe in Europa Conference League Gameweek 3 action on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Getafe have played 3 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 100% win rate. Brighton & Hove Albion have played 3 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.0 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Brighton & Hove Albion are narrow favourites at 56%, with the draw at 25% and Getafe at 18%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Getafe 0.86, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.68.
- Over 2.5 goals: 47% · both teams to score: 47%.
- Most likely score: 0–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (3 and 3 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Getafe: form and key numbers
In style Getafe are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.25 a match created (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 11.3 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 52.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.69.
Brighton & Hove Albion: form and key numbers
In style Brighton & Hove Albion keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.40 a match created (goals minus xG: +0.8).
- Shots: 27.0 a match, 7.7 on target.
- Possession: 74.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 100% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 10.3 a match.
- Discipline: 0.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.30.
Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion: season averages side by side
| Getafe | Per match this season | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matches | 3 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 2.7 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 0.0 |
| 1.25 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.40 |
| 11.3 | Shots | 27.0 |
| 4.0 | On target | 7.7 |
| 52.7 | Possession % | 74.7 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 100% |
| 100% | Both teams scored % | 0% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 10.3 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 0.7 |
| 6.69 | Average rating | 7.30 |
Players to watch
Getafe
- David Soria GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 60 · Long passer, Shot-stopper (top 1% of his position)
- Zaid Romero CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 48 · Reads the game, Long passer (top 8% of his position)
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Bart Verbruggen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 65 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 9% of his position)
- Luka Vuskovic CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 65 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper, 25 · Brighton & Hove Albion · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 63
Maxim De Cuyper, 25, plays as a wing-back for Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and expected goals. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 63
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 60
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.33 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected goals | 0.20 / 90 | 90% |
| Key passes | 2.47 / 90 | 88% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.54 / 90 | 79% |
| Dribbled past | 0.46 / 90 | 73% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
Scout's notes: Creator, Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator.
- What Maxim De Cuyper is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maxim De Cuyper's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion should have more of the ball, with Getafe likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Getafe go long and direct; Brighton & Hove Albion are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 0.86 for Getafe and 1.68 for Brighton & Hove Albion - with over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 47%. Brighton & Hove Albion have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Getafe 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion betting tips
- Tip 1: Brighton & Hove Albion to win 56% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.54 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (47%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 14.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa Conference League previews
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- Pafos FC vs Riga Thursday 22 October 2026
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova Thursday 22 October 2026
- Getafe vs Lugano Thursday 22 October 2026
- Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann Thursday 22 October 2026
- Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion Thursday 22 October 2026
- Crvena Zvezda vs FC København Thursday 22 October 2026
Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion: questions and answers
When is Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion is on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 3.
Where is Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion played?
At Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe, Getafe's home ground.
Who will win Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Brighton & Hove Albion are the favourites: Getafe 18%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Albion 56%. Our prediction is Getafe 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion.
Who is the player to watch in Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Maxim De Cuyper of Brighton & Hove Albion: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.