Getafe vs Sevilla Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 11
La Liga · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe · updated 2026-10-18
Getafe welcome Sevilla to Coliseum Alfonso Pérez in Getafe in La Liga Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Getafe have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Sevilla have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Getafe 30%, the draw 30%, Sevilla 40%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Getafe 1.04, Sevilla 1.25.
- Over 2.5 goals: 40% · both teams to score: 47%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Getafe: form and key numbers
In style Getafe are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.84 a match created, 1.48 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.8).
- Shots: 10.8 a match, 2.5 on target.
- Possession: 37.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 25% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 3.4 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.67.
Sevilla: form and key numbers
In style Sevilla are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.27 a match created, 1.50 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.9).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 42.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.1 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Getafe vs Sevilla: season averages side by side
| Getafe | Per match this season | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 8 |
| 0.5 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 0.84 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.27 |
| 1.48 | xG conceded | 1.50 |
| 10.8 | Shots | 11.9 |
| 2.5 | On target | 4.3 |
| 37.3 | Possession % | 42.1 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 25% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 3.8 | Corners | 3.1 |
| 3.4 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
| 6.67 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
Getafe
- David Soria GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 59 · Long passer, Box defender (top 1% of his position)
- Zaid Romero CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 48 · Reads the game, Long passer (top 8% of his position)
Sevilla
- Félix Correia LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 58 · Press-resistant, Gets into scoring positions (top 11% of his position)
- Giorgi Kochorashvili CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 54 · Creator, Ball-winner (top 10% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Gabriel Suazo
Gabriel Suazo, 29 · Sevilla · LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 60
Gabriel Suazo, 29, plays as a full-back for Sevilla in La Liga. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 60
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 56
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.00 / 90 | 97% |
| Key passes | 1.50 / 90 | 96% |
| Duels won | 5.38 / 90 | 78% |
| Tackles | 2.50 / 90 | 75% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.11 / 90 | 66% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★ Defensive full-back Full-back
- ★★½ Stopper Centre-back
Scout's notes: Crosser, Chance creator.
- What Gabriel Suazo is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Gabriel Suazo's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Getafe vs Sevilla prediction
Sevilla should have more of the ball; Getafe go long and direct; Sevilla are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 1.04 for Getafe and 1.25 for Sevilla - with over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 47%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Getafe 1-1 Sevilla
Getafe vs Sevilla betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 2.30 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 12.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 6.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 24 October 2026
- Athletic Club vs Getafe Sunday 25 October 2026
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Getafe vs Sevilla: questions and answers
When is Getafe vs Sevilla?
Getafe vs Sevilla is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 11.
Where is Getafe vs Sevilla played?
At Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe, Getafe's home ground.
Who will win Getafe vs Sevilla?
It is close: Getafe 30%, draw 30%, Sevilla 40%. Our prediction is Getafe 1-1 Sevilla.
Who is the player to watch in Getafe vs Sevilla?
Gabriel Suazo of Sevilla: a attacking full-back with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Getafe vs Sevilla?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.