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Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax

Hajduk Split beat Ajax 2-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Stadion Poljud. The goals: Abdoulie Sanyang 37', Davy Klaassen 53', Marin Soticek 55'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Hajduk Split won it

Abdoulie Sanyang put Hajduk Split ahead in the 37th minute, set up by Marin Soticek. Ajax levelled at 1-1 in the 53rd minute through Davy Klaassen, set up by Thilo Kehrer. Marin Soticek made it 2-1 to Hajduk Split in the 55th minute, set up by Michele Sego.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, C. Ciochirca, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Hajduk Split and 1 to Ajax.

Hajduk Split: G. García García, 4-2-3-1 · Ajax: M. Sánchez Muñoz, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Hajduk Split +0.50 at 1.81, and on the half-time score, 1-0 it won.

The estimate's most likely result was an Ajax win at 64%; a Hajduk Split win, at 15%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 0-2 (10%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 56%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Hajduk Split had 8 shots on target, Ajax 4.

Ajax's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Ajax had 56% of the ball, but Hajduk Split took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Hajduk Split came into it with 5 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.59 expected goals for and – against, and had won 80% of their matches.

Ajax came into it with 7 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 3.3 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 3.15 expected goals for and – against, and had won 71% of their matches.

Hajduk Split vs Ajax: the match in numbers

Hajduk SplitMatch statisticsAjax
44%Ball possession56%
14Total shots12
8Shots on target4
3Big chances2
375Total passes474
82%Pass accuracy84%
4Corners5
20Fouls13
6Offsides1
30Tackles14
3Saves6
2Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Marin Soticek (Hajduk Split), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Hajduk Split

Ajax

The lowest-rated starter was Youri Baas at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Hajduk Split vs Ajax

What was the score in Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax (half-time 1-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

Abdoulie Sanyang 37', Davy Klaassen 53', Marin Soticek 55'.

Did Moneyball predict Hajduk Split vs Ajax correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Hajduk Split +0.50 at 1.81, and on the half-time score, 1-0 it won.

Who was man of the match in Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

Marin Soticek, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

C. Ciochirca.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.