Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Stadion Poljud, Split · referee C. Ciochirca · full time
Full time: Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax
Hajduk Split beat Ajax 2-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Stadion Poljud. The goals: Abdoulie Sanyang 37', Davy Klaassen 53', Marin Soticek 55'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Hajduk Split won it
Abdoulie Sanyang put Hajduk Split ahead in the 37th minute, set up by Marin Soticek. Ajax levelled at 1-1 in the 53rd minute through Davy Klaassen, set up by Thilo Kehrer. Marin Soticek made it 2-1 to Hajduk Split in the 55th minute, set up by Michele Sego.
It was 1-0 at half-time.
The referee, C. Ciochirca, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Hajduk Split and 1 to Ajax.
Hajduk Split: G. García García, 4-2-3-1 · Ajax: M. Sánchez Muñoz, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Hajduk Split +0.50 at 1.81, and on the half-time score, 1-0 it won.
The estimate's most likely result was an Ajax win at 64%; a Hajduk Split win, at 15%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 0-2 (10%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 56%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Hajduk Split had 8 shots on target, Ajax 4.
Ajax's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Ajax had 56% of the ball, but Hajduk Split took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Hajduk Split came into it with 5 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.59 expected goals for and – against, and had won 80% of their matches.
Ajax came into it with 7 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 3.3 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 3.15 expected goals for and – against, and had won 71% of their matches.
Hajduk Split vs Ajax: the match in numbers
| Hajduk Split | Match statistics | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 44% | Ball possession | 56% |
| 14 | Total shots | 12 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 3 | Big chances | 2 |
| 375 | Total passes | 474 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 30 | Tackles | 14 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Marin Soticek (Hajduk Split), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Hajduk Split
- Marin Soticek 8.0 1 goal, 1 assist
- Abdoulie Sanyang 7.9 1 goal
- Khalil Fayad 7.4
- Dalisson de Almeida 7.2
- Toni Silic 7.1
Ajax
- Aaron Bouwman 7.7
- Marc ter Stegen 7.5
- Thilo Kehrer 7.3 1 assist
- Davy Klaassen 7.1 1 goal
- Viktor Tsygankov 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Youri Baas at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Hajduk Split: Thun vs Hajduk Split Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Ajax: Ajax vs Atalanta Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Hajduk Split vs Ajax
What was the score in Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax (half-time 1-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
Abdoulie Sanyang 37', Davy Klaassen 53', Marin Soticek 55'.
Did Moneyball predict Hajduk Split vs Ajax correctly?
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Hajduk Split +0.50 at 1.81, and on the half-time score, 1-0 it won.
Who was man of the match in Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
Marin Soticek, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
C. Ciochirca.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.