Hull City 2-2 Everton: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Premier League Matchday 6 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · MKM Stadium, Hull · referee M. Salisbury · full time
Full time: Hull City 2-2 Everton
Hull City and Everton drew 2-2 in Premier League Matchday 6 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at MKM Stadium. The goals: Joe Gelhardt 48', Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 55', Thierno Barry 68', Mohamed Belloumi 74'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Joe Gelhardt put Hull City ahead in the 48th minute, set up by Sorba Thomas. Everton levelled at 1-1 in the 55th minute through Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, set up by Ainsley Maitland-Niles. Everton turned it round: Thierno Barry made it 1-2 in the 68th minute, set up by Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall. Hull City levelled at 2-2 in the 74th minute through Mohamed Belloumi, set up by Elliot Stroud.
It was 0-0 at half-time.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, M. Salisbury, showed 2 yellow cards: 2 to Hull City and 0 to Everton.
Hull City: S. Jakirović, 5-4-1 · Everton: D. Moyes, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A miss for the model: 37% for a Hull City win, 30% for a draw, and football chose the second.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.2 goals and there were 4.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 39%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 46%; both did, against the estimate.
The bookmakers, margin removed, had an Everton win at 43%, a different lean from Moneyball's.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.79 for Hull City and 1.16 for Everton.
Hull City had 5 shots on target, Everton 7.
Everton had 65% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Hull City came into it with 6 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.09 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Everton came into it with 7 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.27 expected goals for and 1.40 against, and had won 29% of their matches.
Hull City vs Everton: the match in numbers
| Hull City | Match statistics | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| 35% | Ball possession | 65% |
| 1.79 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.16 |
| 9 | Total shots | 15 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 2 | Big chances | 8 |
| 306 | Total passes | 595 |
| 73% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 14 | Tackles | 15 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Hull City
- Mohamed Belloumi 7.4 1 goal
- Sorba Thomas 7.3 1 assist
- Joe Gelhardt 7.2 1 goal
- Nobel Mendy 7.0
- Konstantinos Tzolakis 7.0
Everton
- Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 8.9 1 goal, 1 assist
- James Tarkowski 8.0
- Harrison Armstrong 7.3
- Jarrad Branthwaite 7.2
- James Garner 7.2
The lowest-rated starter was Ainsley Maitland-Niles at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Hull City: Fulham vs Hull City Saturday 17 October 2026 · Premier League
- Everton: Arsenal vs Everton Saturday 24 October 2026 · Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Hull City vs Everton
What was the score in Hull City vs Everton?
Hull City 2-2 Everton (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Sunday 11 October 2026.
Who scored in Hull City vs Everton?
Joe Gelhardt 48', Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 55', Thierno Barry 68', Mohamed Belloumi 74'.
Did Moneyball predict Hull City vs Everton correctly?
A miss for the model: 37% for a Hull City win, 30% for a draw, and football chose the second.
Who was man of the match in Hull City vs Everton?
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Hull City vs Everton?
M. Salisbury.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.