Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Hull City 2-2 Everton: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Hull City 2-2 Everton

Hull City and Everton drew 2-2 in Premier League Matchday 6 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at MKM Stadium. The goals: Joe Gelhardt 48', Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 55', Thierno Barry 68', Mohamed Belloumi 74'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

Joe Gelhardt put Hull City ahead in the 48th minute, set up by Sorba Thomas. Everton levelled at 1-1 in the 55th minute through Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, set up by Ainsley Maitland-Niles. Everton turned it round: Thierno Barry made it 1-2 in the 68th minute, set up by Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall. Hull City levelled at 2-2 in the 74th minute through Mohamed Belloumi, set up by Elliot Stroud.

It was 0-0 at half-time.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, M. Salisbury, showed 2 yellow cards: 2 to Hull City and 0 to Everton.

Hull City: S. Jakirović, 5-4-1 · Everton: D. Moyes, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A miss for the model: 37% for a Hull City win, 30% for a draw, and football chose the second.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.2 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 39%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 46%; both did, against the estimate.

The bookmakers, margin removed, had an Everton win at 43%, a different lean from Moneyball's.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.79 for Hull City and 1.16 for Everton.

Hull City had 5 shots on target, Everton 7.

Everton had 65% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Hull City came into it with 6 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.09 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Everton came into it with 7 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.27 expected goals for and 1.40 against, and had won 29% of their matches.

Hull City vs Everton: the match in numbers

Hull CityMatch statisticsEverton
35%Ball possession65%
1.79Expected goals (xG)1.16
9Total shots15
5Shots on target7
2Big chances8
306Total passes595
73%Pass accuracy87%
7Corners6
15Fouls4
1Offsides4
14Tackles15
4Saves2
2Yellow cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Hull City

Everton

The lowest-rated starter was Ainsley Maitland-Niles at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Hull City vs Everton

What was the score in Hull City vs Everton?

Hull City 2-2 Everton (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Sunday 11 October 2026.

Who scored in Hull City vs Everton?

Joe Gelhardt 48', Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 55', Thierno Barry 68', Mohamed Belloumi 74'.

Did Moneyball predict Hull City vs Everton correctly?

A miss for the model: 37% for a Hull City win, 30% for a draw, and football chose the second.

Who was man of the match in Hull City vs Everton?

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Hull City vs Everton?

M. Salisbury.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.