Hull City vs Ipswich Town Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 9
Premier League · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 15:00 UTC · MKM Stadium, Hull · updated 2026-10-17
Hull City welcome Ipswich Town to MKM Stadium in Hull in Premier League Gameweek 9 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Hull City have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Ipswich Town have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Hull City are narrow favourites at 48%, with the draw at 26% and Ipswich Town at 26%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Hull City 1.66, Ipswich Town 1.18.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Hull City: form and key numbers
In style Hull City are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.09 a match created, 1.50 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.5).
- Shots: 11.7 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 32.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 3.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Ipswich Town: form and key numbers
In style Ipswich Town are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.28 a match created, 1.66 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 11.5 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 45.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Hull City vs Ipswich Town: season averages side by side
| Hull City | Per match this season | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.09 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.28 |
| 1.50 | xG conceded | 1.66 |
| 11.7 | Shots | 11.5 |
| 4.0 | On target | 4.7 |
| 32.7 | Possession % | 45.5 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 3.3 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.80 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
Hull City
- Konstantinos Tzolakis GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 65 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- Mohamed Belloumi RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 51 · Press-resistant, High shot volume (top 2% of his position)
Ipswich Town
- Exequiel Palacios CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 61 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 10% of his position)
- Saša Lukić CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 59 · Press-resistant, Ball circulator (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku, 22 · Ipswich Town · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 63
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku, 22, plays as a winger for Ipswich Town in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and big chances created. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 66
- RW · Winger Natural, 63
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 62
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.52 / 90 | 99% |
| Big chances created | 1.01 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.40 / 90 | 93% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.03 / 90 | 89% |
| Key passes | 2.02 / 90 | 75% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Crosser, Big-chance creator, Creator.
- What Abdul Fatawu Issahaku is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Abdul Fatawu Issahaku's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Hull City vs Ipswich Town prediction
Ipswich Town should have more of the ball; Hull City are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.66 for Hull City and 1.18 for Ipswich Town - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 57%. Hull City have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Hull City 2-1 Ipswich Town
Hull City vs Ipswich Town betting tips
- Tip 1: Hull City win or draw (double chance) 74% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.84 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Premier League previews
- Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest Friday 23 October 2026
- Aston Villa vs Manchester City Saturday 24 October 2026
- Coventry City vs Fulham Saturday 24 October 2026
- Arsenal vs Everton Saturday 24 October 2026
- Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 24 October 2026
- Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth Sunday 25 October 2026
- Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Sunday 25 October 2026
- Hull City vs Brentford Sunday 25 October 2026
Hull City vs Ipswich Town: questions and answers
When is Hull City vs Ipswich Town?
Hull City vs Ipswich Town is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 9.
Where is Hull City vs Ipswich Town played?
At MKM Stadium, Hull, Hull City's home ground.
Who will win Hull City vs Ipswich Town?
Hull City are the favourites: Hull City 48%, draw 26%, Ipswich Town 26%. Our prediction is Hull City 2-1 Ipswich Town.
Who is the player to watch in Hull City vs Ipswich Town?
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku of Ipswich Town: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Hull City vs Ipswich Town?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.