Hungary vs Ukraine: Prediction, Odds and Preview
UEFA Nations League B · Saturday 26 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
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Hungary host Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League B on Saturday 26 September 2026. The prices see little between them: Hungary 41%, the draw 29%, Ukraine 30% once the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Hungary -0.25 at 1.84, Ukraine at 1.84. The main goals line is 2.25: over 1.74, under 1.93, which gives over 53%.
Form in numbers
- Hungary create more: 1.53 expected goals a match against 1.41 for Ukraine.
- Hungary give away less, 1.73 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Hungary 12.6 (– on target), Ukraine 11.2 (– on target).
| Hungary | Per match | Ukraine |
|---|---|---|
| 1.53 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.41 |
| 1.73 | xG conceded | 1.97 |
| 1.50 | Goals | 1.56 |
| 12.6 | Shots | 11.2 |
| 14.5 | Tackles | 16.3 |
| 11.9 | Fouls | 9.3 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 24 and 10 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.