Independiente Rivadavia 3–1 Banfield: Result, Report and Stats
Liga Profesional · Monday 2 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Independiente Rivadavia 3 – 1 Banfield
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave Independiente Rivadavia win 58%. The result went the way the consensus leaned.
- 4 goals in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Independiente Rivadavia welcome Banfield to Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini in Mendoza in Liga Profesional action on Monday 2 November 2026.
Independiente Rivadavia have played 33 matches in Liga Profesional this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 48% of them. At home they average 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 17 matches, with a 69% win rate. Banfield have played 32 matches in Liga Profesional this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 16 matches, with a 38% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Independiente Rivadavia are narrow favourites at 58%, with the draw at 24% and Banfield at 17%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.5 goals: 50%.
Independiente Rivadavia: form and key numbers
In style Independiente Rivadavia play long and direct, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.33 a match created, 1.13 conceded (goals minus xG: +7.2).
- Shots: 14.2 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 47.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 21% of matches (14% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Banfield: form and key numbers
In style Banfield are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.11 a match created, 1.68 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.5).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 41.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 59% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield: season averages side by side
| Independiente Rivadavia | Per match | Banfield |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.11 |
| 1.13 | xG conceded | 1.68 |
| 1.55 | Goals | 1.09 |
| 14.2 | Shots | 12.4 |
| 4.9 | Shots on target | 3.6 |
| 1.3 | Big chances missed | 0.6 |
| 42.1 | Pressure share % | 41.8 |
| 17.3 | Tackles | 20.2 |
| 11.4 | Fouls | 11.5 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 33 and 32 measured matches.
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Independiente Rivadavia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Independiente Rivadavia 5, Banfield 6 - 2.2 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 Banfield (November 3rd 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Independiente Rivadavia won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | Independiente Rivadavia | 3 – 1 | Banfield |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Banfield | 0 – 0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Independiente Rivadavia | 1 – 2 | Banfield |
| 11 Apr 2025 | Banfield | 1 – 1 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 24 Sep 2024 | Banfield | 2 – 0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
Players to watch
Independiente Rivadavia
- Luis Sequeira AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 57 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 16% of his position)
- Matías Reali RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 47 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 2% of his position)
Banfield
- Santiago Daniele CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 58 · Hard to dribble past, Box defender (top 2% of his position)
- David Zalazar LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 50 · Crosser, High shot volume (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Álex Arce
Álex Arce, 31 · Independiente Rivadavia · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 58
Álex Arce, 31, plays as a centre-forward for Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and duels won. Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 58
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 50
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 6.35 / 90 | 99% |
| Duels won | 8.58 / 90 | 92% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 xG/shot | 87% |
| Expected goals | 0.52 / 90 | 58% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.49 / 90 | 51% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Duel winner, Takes high-quality shots.
- What Álex Arce is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield prediction
Independiente Rivadavia should have more of the ball, with Banfield likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Independiente Rivadavia are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Banfield go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.76 for Independiente Rivadavia and 0.91 for Banfield - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 50%. Independiente Rivadavia have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Banfield
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield: what the numbers say
- 1. Independiente Rivadavia win, the likeliest result 58% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.67 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 10.6 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 7.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield: questions and answers
When is Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield is on Monday 2 November 2026, in Liga Profesional.
Where is Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield played?
At Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza, Independiente Rivadavia's home ground.
Who will win Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
Independiente Rivadavia are the favourites: Independiente Rivadavia 58%, draw 24%, Banfield 17%. Our prediction is Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Banfield.
Who is the player to watch in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
Álex Arce of Independiente Rivadavia: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 58 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.