Inter Milan 3–4 Club Brugge: Result, Report and Stats
UEFA Champions League · Wednesday 14 October 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-17
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Inter Milan 3 – 4 Club Brugge
- Before kick-off the prices, margin removed, gave Club Brugge win 11%. The market had leaned to a Inter Milan win (72%); the result went against it.
- Asian handicap Inter Milan -1.5: lost for Inter Milan backers.
- Goals line 3: 7 goals, so the over won and the under lost.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in the Match Centre.
Inter Milan welcome Club Brugge to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano in UEFA Champions League action on Wednesday 14 October 2026.
Inter Milan have played 6 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 83% of them. At home they average 3.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 80% win rate. Club Brugge have played 2 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 3.0 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 4.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 100% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Inter Milan are clear favourites at 72%, with the draw at 17% and Club Brugge at 11%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.4% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Inter Milan -1.5 at 1.81, Club Brugge at 2.07. The main goals line is 3: over 1.85, under 2.01, which gives over 52%.
Inter Milan: form and key numbers
In style Inter Milan keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.80 a match created, 1.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.2).
- Shots: 22.5 a match, 7.2 on target.
- Possession: 62.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.09.
Club Brugge: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 2.61 a match created (goals minus xG: +0.8).
- Shots: 16.0 a match, 7.5 on target.
- Possession: 55.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 3.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Inter Milan vs Club Brugge: season averages side by side
| Inter Milan | Per match | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.61 |
| 1.11 | xG conceded | – |
| 3.00 | Goals | 3.00 |
| 22.5 | Shots | 16.0 |
| 7.2 | Shots on target | 7.5 |
| 3.5 | Big chances missed | – |
| 79.8 | Pressure share % | – |
| 17.0 | Tackles | 13.5 |
| 7.7 | Fouls | 15.0 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 3.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 2 measured matches.
Inter Milan vs Club Brugge: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Inter Milan have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of the last 1 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Inter Milan 3, Club Brugge 4 - 7.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Inter Milan 3-4 Club Brugge (October 13th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 1 meetings Inter Milan won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | Inter Milan | 3 – 4 | Club Brugge |
Players to watch
Inter Milan
- Manuel Akanji CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 70 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 9% of his position)
- Lautaro Martínez CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 69 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram, 29 · Inter · CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 74
Marcus Thuram, 29, plays as a centre-forward for Inter in Serie A. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 74
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 5.28 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected goals | 0.87 / 90 | 90% |
| Key passes | 1.86 / 90 | 85% |
| Goals | 0.93 / 90 | 82% |
| Duels won | 6.52 / 90 | 79% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator.
- What Marcus Thuram is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Marcus Thuram's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Inter Milan vs Club Brugge prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 5.1 goals - 3.53 for Inter Milan and 1.57 for Club Brugge - with over 2.5 goals at 88% and both teams scoring at 77%. Inter Milan have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Inter Milan 3-1 Club Brugge
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Inter Milan vs Club Brugge betting tips
- Tip 1: Inter Milan to win 72% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 88% by the model, 5.10 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 77% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Inter Milan vs Club Brugge in the Match Centre Follow it live
Inter Milan vs Club Brugge: questions and answers
When is Inter Milan vs Club Brugge?
Inter Milan vs Club Brugge is on Wednesday 14 October 2026, in UEFA Champions League.
Where is Inter Milan vs Club Brugge played?
At Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano, Inter Milan's home ground.
Who will win Inter Milan vs Club Brugge?
Inter Milan are the favourites: Inter Milan 72%, draw 17%, Club Brugge 11%. Our prediction is Inter Milan 3-1 Club Brugge.
Who is the player to watch in Inter Milan vs Club Brugge?
Marcus Thuram of Inter: a complete forward with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Inter Milan vs Club Brugge?
Moneyball's model expects about 5.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 88%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.