Internacional 1–0 Coritiba: Result, Report and Stats
Brasileirao · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Internacional 1 – 0 Coritiba
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave Internacional win 58%. The result went the way the consensus leaned.
- 1 goal in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Internacional welcome Coritiba to Estádio José Pinheiro Borda in Porto Alegre in Brasileirao action on Tuesday 3 November 2026.
Internacional have played 34 matches in Brasileirao this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 26% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 17 matches, with a 67% win rate. Coritiba have played 34 matches in Brasileirao this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 32% of them. Away from home they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 17 matches, with a 45% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Internacional are narrow favourites at 58%, with the draw at 24% and Coritiba at 18%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 48%.
Internacional: form and key numbers
In style Internacional are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 1.45 conceded (goals minus xG: -8.7).
- Shots: 14.8 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 24% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Coritiba: form and key numbers
In style Coritiba are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.09 a match created, 1.74 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.8).
- Shots: 11.3 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 40.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 21% of matches (57% away).
- Both teams scored in 47% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 10.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Internacional vs Coritiba: season averages side by side
| Internacional | Per match | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.09 |
| 1.45 | xG conceded | 1.74 |
| 1.12 | Goals | 1.18 |
| 14.8 | Shots | 11.3 |
| 4.4 | Shots on target | 3.4 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 0.8 |
| 42.9 | Pressure share % | 32.9 |
| 17.0 | Tackles | 13.4 |
| 15.7 | Fouls | 11.2 |
| 2.6 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 34 and 34 measured matches.
Internacional vs Coritiba: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Internacional have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of the last 2 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Internacional 3, Coritiba 2 - 2.5 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Internacional 1-0 Coritiba (November 4th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings Internacional won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | Internacional | 1 – 0 | Coritiba |
| 9 May 2026 | Coritiba | 2 – 2 | Internacional |
Players to watch
Internacional
- Matheus Bahia LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 52 · Creator, Chance creator (top 10% of his position)
- Alexandro Bernabei LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 49 · Dribbler, Gets into scoring positions (top 22% of his position)
Coritiba
- Rodrigo Moledo CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 59 · Disciplined, Dominant in the air (top 12% of his position)
- Pedro Morisco GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 53 · Box defender, Shot-stopper (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Jacy
Jacy, 29 · Coritiba · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 53
Jacy, 29, plays as a centre-back for Coritiba in the Brasileirão. Strongest for his role in clearances and duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 53
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Clearances | 7.30 / 90 | 85% |
| Duels won | 6.25 / 90 | 83% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.05 / 90 | 80% |
| Tackles | 2.20 / 90 | 80% |
| Blocked shots | 1.12 / 90 | 77% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Box defender, Duel winner.
- What Jacy is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Internacional vs Coritiba prediction
Internacional should have more of the ball; Internacional work the ball wide and cross; Coritiba go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.63 for Internacional and 1.05 for Coritiba - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 53%. Internacional have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Internacional 2-1 Coritiba
Internacional vs Coritiba: what the numbers say
- 1. Internacional win, the likeliest result 58% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.68 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 19.5 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 10.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Internacional vs Coritiba: questions and answers
When is Internacional vs Coritiba?
Internacional vs Coritiba is on Tuesday 3 November 2026, in Brasileirao.
Where is Internacional vs Coritiba played?
At Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre, Internacional's home ground.
Who will win Internacional vs Coritiba?
Internacional are the favourites: Internacional 58%, draw 24%, Coritiba 18%. Our prediction is Internacional 2-1 Coritiba.
Who is the player to watch in Internacional vs Coritiba?
Jacy of Coritiba: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 53 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Coritiba?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.