Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 2
Europa Conference League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou · updated 2026-10-17
Jablonec welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Stadion Střelnice in Jablonec nad Nisou in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Jablonec have played 7 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 57% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 75% win rate. Brighton & Hove Albion have played 3 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.0 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Brighton & Hove Albion are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 27% and Jablonec at 19%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Jablonec 0.80, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.54.
- Over 2.5 goals: 41% · both teams to score: 44%.
- Most likely score: 0–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 3 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Jablonec: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.94 a match created (goals minus xG: +4.4).
- Shots: 8.1 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 45.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.57.
Brighton & Hove Albion: form and key numbers
In style Brighton & Hove Albion keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.40 a match created (goals minus xG: +0.8).
- Shots: 27.0 a match, 7.7 on target.
- Possession: 74.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 100% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 10.3 a match.
- Discipline: 0.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.30.
Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion: season averages side by side
| Jablonec | Per match this season | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 3 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 2.7 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 0.0 |
| 0.94 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.40 |
| 8.1 | Shots | 27.0 |
| 3.3 | On target | 7.7 |
| 45.4 | Possession % | 74.7 |
| 43% | Clean sheets % | 100% |
| 43% | Both teams scored % | 0% |
| 3.3 | Corners | 10.3 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 0.7 |
| 6.57 | Average rating | 7.30 |
Players to watch
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Bart Verbruggen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 63 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 6% of his position)
- Luka Vuskovic CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 63 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Pascal Groß
Pascal Groß, 35 · Brighton & Hove Albion · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 67
Pascal Groß, 35, plays as a central midfielder for Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 67
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Competent, 54
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.00 / 90 | 100% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.47 / 90 | 100% |
| Expected goals | 0.32 / 90 | 98% |
| Passes | 59.00 / 90 | 81% |
| Long balls | 2.50 / 90 | 77% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★★½ Creator Attacking midfielder
- ★★½ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Pascal Groß is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Pascal Groß's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 0.80 for Jablonec and 1.54 for Brighton & Hove Albion - with over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 44%. Brighton & Hove Albion have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Jablonec 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion betting tips
- Tip 1: Brighton & Hove Albion win or draw (double chance) 81% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 59% by the model, 2.33 goals expected
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 13.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion: questions and answers
When is Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion is on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2.
Where is Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion played?
At Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou, Jablonec's home ground.
Who will win Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Brighton & Hove Albion are the favourites: Jablonec 19%, draw 27%, Brighton & Hove Albion 54%. Our prediction is Jablonec 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion.
Who is the player to watch in Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Pascal Groß of Brighton & Hove Albion: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.