Juventus vs Napoli Prediction and Betting Tips | Serie A Gameweek 10
Serie A · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Juventus Stadium, Torino · updated 2026-10-18
Juventus welcome Napoli to Juventus Stadium in Torino in Serie A Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Juventus have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. Napoli have played 7 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 43% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Juventus are narrow favourites at 48%, with the draw at 28% and Napoli at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Juventus 1.49, Napoli 0.99.
- Over 2.5 goals: 45% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Juventus: form and key numbers
In style Juventus keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.61 a match created, 0.59 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 18.3 a match, 6.5 on target.
- Possession: 58.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 8.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.97.
Napoli: form and key numbers
In style Napoli keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.85 a match created, 1.42 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.0).
- Shots: 16.7 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 53.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.4 a match.
- Discipline: 0.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Juventus vs Napoli: season averages side by side
| Juventus | Per match this season | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.85 |
| 0.59 | xG conceded | 1.42 |
| 18.3 | Shots | 16.7 |
| 6.5 | On target | 5.6 |
| 58.7 | Possession % | 53.0 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 43% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 43% |
| 8.7 | Corners | 6.4 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 0.9 |
| 6.97 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Players to watch
Juventus
- Zeki Çelik RB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 70 · Creator, Chance creator (top 8% of his position)
- Douglas Luiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 69 · Ball circulator, Secure passer (top 5% of his position)
Napoli
- Amir Rrahmani CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 70 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
- Alex Meret GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 60 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 23% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Kevin De Bruyne
Kevin De Bruyne, 35 · Napoli · AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 69
Kevin De Bruyne, 35, plays as an attacking midfielder for Napoli in Serie A. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected goals. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 70
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 69
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 4.40 / 90 | 98% |
| Expected goals | 0.68 / 90 | 98% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.43 / 90 | 91% |
| Through balls | 0.23 / 90 | 87% |
| Dispossessed | 0.69 / 90 | 87% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Creator Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★½ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Gets into scoring positions, Creator.
- What Kevin De Bruyne is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Kevin De Bruyne's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Juventus vs Napoli prediction
Juventus should have more of the ball; Juventus work the ball wide and cross; Napoli are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.49 for Juventus and 0.99 for Napoli - with over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 49%. Juventus have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Juventus 1-0 Napoli
Juventus vs Napoli betting tips
- Tip 1: Juventus win or draw (double chance) 76% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.48 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (45%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 15.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Serie A previews
- Torino vs Monza Friday 23 October 2026
- Como vs Sassuolo Saturday 24 October 2026
- Cagliari vs Bologna Saturday 24 October 2026
- Napoli vs Roma Saturday 24 October 2026
- Lazio vs Parma Saturday 24 October 2026
- Inter vs Fiorentina Sunday 25 October 2026
- Genoa vs Venezia Sunday 25 October 2026
- Atalanta vs Frosinone Sunday 25 October 2026
Juventus vs Napoli: questions and answers
When is Juventus vs Napoli?
Juventus vs Napoli is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 10.
Where is Juventus vs Napoli played?
At Juventus Stadium, Torino, Juventus's home ground.
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
Juventus are the favourites: Juventus 48%, draw 28%, Napoli 24%. Our prediction is Juventus 1-0 Napoli.
Who is the player to watch in Juventus vs Napoli?
Kevin De Bruyne of Napoli: a creator with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Napoli?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.