Gent 1-0 AGF: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Planet Group Arena, Gent · referee B. Saryev · full time
Full time: Gent 1-0 AGF
Gent won 1-0 at home to AGF in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026. The goals: Hyllarion Goore 87'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Gent won it
Gent struck first through Hyllarion Goore in the 87th minute, set up by Tiago Araújo. There was no time to answer it.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, B. Saryev, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Gent and 2 to AGF.
Gent: R. Demil, 3-1-4-2 · AGF: J. Poulsen, 3-5-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, KAA Gent Win at 1.57, came in: 1-0 settles it as a winner.
The estimate's most likely result was a Gent win at 58%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.7 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 51%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 51%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Gent had 4 shots on target, AGF 1.
Gent had 52% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Gent came into it with 7 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 0.4 a match, with 0.62 expected goals for and – against, and had won 43% of their matches.
AGF came into it with 1 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 0.55 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Gent vs AGF: the match in numbers
| Gent | Match statistics | AGF |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Ball possession | 48% |
| 22 | Total shots | 4 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 5 | Big chances | 0 |
| 526 | Total passes | 498 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 11 | Tackles | 16 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Mathias Delorge (Gent), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.
Gent
- Mathias Delorge 8.2
- Tiago Araújo 8.0 1 assist
- Tibe De Vlieger 7.5
- Hyllarion Goore 7.4 1 goal
- Michel-Ange Balikwisha 7.3
AGF
- Eric Kahl 7.2
- Mads Hedenstad 7.0
- Callum McCowatt 7.0
- Kristian Arnstad 6.8
- Daníel Leó Grétarsson 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Ibrahima Cissé at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Gent: Sporting Braga vs Gent Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League
- AGF: AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Gent vs AGF
What was the score in Gent vs AGF?
Gent 1-0 AGF (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Gent vs AGF?
Hyllarion Goore 87'.
Did Moneyball predict Gent vs AGF correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, KAA Gent Win at 1.57, came in: 1-0 settles it as a winner.
Who was man of the match in Gent vs AGF?
Mathias Delorge, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Gent vs AGF?
B. Saryev.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.