KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk Prediction and Stats
Pro League · Sunday 8 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
KAA Gent welcome KV Kortrijk in Pro League action on Sunday 8 November 2026.
KAA Gent have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. KV Kortrijk have played 11 matches in Pro League this season, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 9% of them. Away from home they average 0.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, KAA Gent are narrow favourites at 60%, with the draw at 23% and KV Kortrijk at 17%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 49%.
KV Kortrijk: form and key numbers
In style KV Kortrijk are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.14 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: -8.6).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 44.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 27% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.65.
KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk: season averages side by side
| KAA Gent | Per match | KV Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 1.14 |
| – | xG conceded | 1.85 |
| – | Goals | 0.36 |
| – | Shots | 11.0 |
| – | Shots on target | 3.4 |
| – | Big chances missed | 1.6 |
| – | Pressure share % | 36.6 |
| – | Tackles | 18.8 |
| – | Fouls | 13.8 |
| – | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
KV Kortrijk
- Goduine Koyalipou CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 50 · Dominant in the air, High shot volume (top 15% of his position)
- Brecht Dejaegere CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 47 · Creator, Chance creator (top 11% of his position)
KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.99 for KAA Gent and 0.83 for KV Kortrijk - with over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 49%. KAA Gent have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: KAA Gent 2-1 KV Kortrijk
KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk: what the numbers say
- 1. KAA Gent win, the likeliest result 60% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.81 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (53%)
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk: questions and answers
When is KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk?
KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk is on Sunday 8 November 2026, in Pro League.
Who will win KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk?
KAA Gent are the favourites: KAA Gent 60%, draw 23%, KV Kortrijk 17%. Our prediction is KAA Gent 2-1 KV Kortrijk.
How many goals will there be in KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.