Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 2
Europa Conference League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas, S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas · updated 2026-10-17
Kauno Žalgiris welcome Brann to S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas in S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Kauno Žalgiris have played 6 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Brann have played 7 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 57% of them. Away from home they average 2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Kauno Žalgiris 34%, the draw 27%, Brann 39%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Kauno Žalgiris 1.31, Brann 1.42.
- Over 2.5 goals: 51% · both teams to score: 56%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Kauno Žalgiris: form and key numbers
- Shots: 7.5 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 50.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.34.
Brann: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.55 a match created (goals minus xG: +11.2).
- Shots: 8.1 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 60.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 86% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.49.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann: season averages side by side
| Kauno Žalgiris | Per match this season | Brann |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 2.1 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 0.55 |
| 7.5 | Shots | 8.1 |
| 4.2 | On target | 4.3 |
| 50.8 | Possession % | 60.6 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 86% |
| 3.8 | Corners | 7.3 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.34 | Average rating | 6.49 |
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.31 for Kauno Žalgiris and 1.42 for Brann - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 56%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Kauno Žalgiris 1-1 Brann
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.73 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion Thursday 22 October 2026
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Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann: questions and answers
When is Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann is on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2.
Where is Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann played?
At S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas, S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas, Kauno Žalgiris's home ground.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
It is close: Kauno Žalgiris 34%, draw 27%, Brann 39%. Our prediction is Kauno Žalgiris 1-1 Brann.
How many goals will there be in Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.