Kosovo vs Republic of Ireland: Prediction, Odds and Preview
UEFA Nations League B · Friday 25 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Kosovo host Republic of Ireland in the UEFA Nations League B on Friday 25 September 2026. The prices see little between them: Kosovo 38%, the draw 30%, Republic of Ireland 32% once the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Kosovo 0 at 1.66, Republic of Ireland at 2.02. The main goals line is 2: over 1.71, under 1.95, which gives over 53%.
Form in numbers
- Republic of Ireland create more: 1.84 expected goals a match against 1.37 for Kosovo.
- Kosovo give away less, 1.41 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Kosovo 13.8 (– on target), Republic of Ireland 11.3 (– on target).
| Kosovo | Per match | Republic of Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.84 |
| 1.41 | xG conceded | 1.67 |
| 2.00 | Goals | 1.82 |
| 13.8 | Shots | 11.3 |
| 13.0 | Tackles | 11.3 |
| 12.8 | Fouls | 12.0 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 12 and 14 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Kosovo vs Republic of Ireland in the Match Centre Follow it live
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.