Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg Prediction and Stats
Premier League · Monday 2 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Krylia Sovetov welcome Zenit St Petersburg in Premier League action on Monday 2 November 2026.
Krylia Sovetov have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Zenit St Petersburg have played 14 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 71% of them. Away from home they average 2.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 7 matches, with a 60% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Zenit St Petersburg are narrow favourites at 60%, with the draw at 23% and Krylia Sovetov at 17%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 51%.
Zenit St Petersburg: form and key numbers
In style Zenit St Petersburg keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.87 a match created, 1.03 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.9).
- Shots: 15.6 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 58.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg: season averages side by side
| Krylia Sovetov | Per match | Zenit St Petersburg |
|---|---|---|
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 1.87 |
| – | xG conceded | 1.03 |
| – | Goals | 2.29 |
| – | Shots | 15.6 |
| – | Shots on target | 6.0 |
| – | Big chances missed | 0.9 |
| – | Pressure share % | 69.8 |
| – | Tackles | 12.6 |
| – | Fouls | 10.9 |
| – | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
Zenit St Petersburg
- Maksim Glushenkov SS · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 48 · High shot volume, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 3% of his position)
- Aleksandr Sobolev CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 41 · Takes high-quality shots, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.23 for Krylia Sovetov and 1.75 for Zenit St Petersburg - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 59%. Zenit St Petersburg have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Krylia Sovetov 1-2 Zenit St Petersburg
Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg: what the numbers say
- 1. Zenit St Petersburg win, the likeliest result 60% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 3 or more goals 57% by the model, 2.98 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg: questions and answers
When is Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg?
Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg is on Monday 2 November 2026, in the Premier League.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg?
Zenit St Petersburg are the favourites: Krylia Sovetov 17%, draw 23%, Zenit St Petersburg 60%. Our prediction is Krylia Sovetov 1-2 Zenit St Petersburg.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.