KuPS vs Gent Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 3
Europa Conference League · Thursday 5 November 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio · updated 2026-10-22
KuPS welcome Gent to Savon Sanomat Areena in Kuopio in Europa Conference League Gameweek 3 action on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
KuPS have played 3 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate. Gent have played 7 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 0.4 goals a game and winning 43% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: KuPS 28%, the draw 35%, Gent 38%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: KuPS 0.78, Gent 0.96.
- Over 2.5 goals: 25% · both teams to score: 34%.
- Most likely score: 0–0 (18%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (3 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
KuPS: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.00 a match created (goals minus xG: +1.0).
- Shots: 6.3 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 52.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.45.
Gent: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.62 a match created (goals minus xG: +1.7).
- Shots: 12.0 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 52.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 71% of matches (40% away).
- Both teams scored in 29% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.62.
KuPS vs Gent: season averages side by side
| KuPS | Per match this season | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 0.4 |
| 1.00 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.62 |
| 6.3 | Shots | 12.0 |
| 4.7 | On target | 4.0 |
| 52.0 | Possession % | 52.4 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 71% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 29% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 7.4 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.45 | Average rating | 6.62 |
KuPS vs Gent prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 1.7 goals - 0.78 for KuPS and 0.96 for Gent - with over 2.5 goals at 25% and both teams scoring at 34%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: KuPS 0-0 Gent
KuPS vs Gent betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 75% by the model, 1.75 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 66% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 12.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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KuPS vs Gent: questions and answers
When is KuPS vs Gent?
KuPS vs Gent is on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 3.
Where is KuPS vs Gent played?
At Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio, KuPS's home ground.
Who will win KuPS vs Gent?
It is close: KuPS 28%, draw 35%, Gent 38%. Our prediction is KuPS 0-0 Gent.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Gent?
Moneyball's model expects about 1.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 25%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.