Le Havre vs Auxerre Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Ligue 1 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-17
Le Havre welcome Auxerre to Stade Océane in Le Havre in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7 action on Sunday 18 October 2026.
Le Havre have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. Auxerre have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 4.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Le Havre 40%, the draw 29%, Auxerre 31%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Le Havre 0 at 1.65, Auxerre at 2.33. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.88, under 2.01, which gives over 52%.
Le Havre: form and key numbers
In style Le Havre press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.65 a match created, 1.58 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.9).
- Shots: 15.7 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Auxerre: form and key numbers
In style Auxerre are happy without the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.26 a match created, 1.96 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.5).
- Shots: 12.0 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 44.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.66.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: season averages side by side
| Le Havre | Per match | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.26 |
| 1.58 | xG conceded | 1.96 |
| 0.67 | Goals | 1.33 |
| 15.7 | Shots | 12.0 |
| 4.5 | Shots on target | 5.0 |
| 0.8 | Big chances missed | 1.5 |
| 58.7 | Pressure share % | 39.9 |
| 19.2 | Tackles | 15.2 |
| 14.3 | Fouls | 14.0 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Le Havre have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Le Havre 7, Auxerre 3 - 2.5 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Le Havre 1-1 Auxerre (April 5th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Le Havre won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Le Havre | 1 – 1 | Auxerre |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Auxerre | 0 – 1 | Le Havre |
| 4 May 2025 | Auxerre | 1 – 2 | Le Havre |
| 1 Sep 2024 | Le Havre | 3 – 1 | Auxerre |
Players to watch
Le Havre
- Lionel Mpasi-Nzau GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 65 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 4% of his position)
- Djibril Ouziad RWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 57 · Dribbler, Duel winner (top 9% of his position)
Auxerre
- Kévin Danois DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 48 · Duel winner, Ball-winner (top 4% of his position)
- Naouirou Ahamada CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 44 · Dribbler, Creator (top 10% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Romain Faivre
Romain Faivre, 28 · Auxerre · AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 65
Romain Faivre, 28, plays as an attacking midfielder for Auxerre in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and key passes. Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 65
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 64
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 2.39 / 90 | 89% |
| Key passes | 3.59 / 90 | 86% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.33 / 90 | 72% |
| Fouls won | 1.79 / 90 | 66% |
| Through balls | 0.00 / 90 | 63% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Dribbling playmaker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Chance creator.
- What Romain Faivre is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Romain Faivre's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Le Havre vs Auxerre prediction
Le Havre should have more of the ball, with Auxerre likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Le Havre work the ball wide and cross; Auxerre like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.91 for Le Havre and 1.24 for Auxerre - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 61%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Le Havre 1-1 Auxerre
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Le Havre vs Auxerre betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 3.14 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 17 October 2026
- Lille vs Brest Saturday 17 October 2026
- Troyes vs Lens Saturday 17 October 2026
- Angers vs Marseille Sunday 18 October 2026
- Lorient vs AS Monaco Sunday 18 October 2026
- Paris FC vs Rennes Sunday 18 October 2026
Le Havre vs Auxerre: questions and answers
When is Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Le Havre vs Auxerre is on Sunday 18 October 2026, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7.
Where is Le Havre vs Auxerre played?
At Stade Océane, Le Havre, Le Havre's home ground.
Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?
It is close: Le Havre 40%, draw 29%, Auxerre 31%. Our prediction is Le Havre 1-1 Auxerre.
Who is the player to watch in Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Romain Faivre of Auxerre: a dribbling playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.