Le Mans 1–1 AS Monaco: Result, Report and Stats
Ligue 1 · Monday 9 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Le Mans 1 – 1 AS Monaco
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave the draw 25%. The consensus had leaned to an AS Monaco win (57%); the result went against it.
- 2 goals in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Le Mans welcome AS Monaco to Stade Marie-Marvingt in Ligue 1 action on Monday 9 November 2026.
Le Mans have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 10% of them. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. AS Monaco have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, AS Monaco are narrow favourites at 57%, with the draw at 25% and Le Mans at 18%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.5 goals: 50%.
Le Mans: form and key numbers
In style Le Mans are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.43 a match created, 1.79 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.3).
- Shots: 10.7 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 46.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
AS Monaco: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.25 a match created, 1.47 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.5).
- Shots: 11.7 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 70% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Le Mans vs AS Monaco: season averages side by side
| Le Mans | Per match | AS Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.25 |
| 1.79 | xG conceded | 1.47 |
| 1.20 | Goals | 1.30 |
| 10.7 | Shots | 11.7 |
| 3.6 | Shots on target | 4.2 |
| 1.4 | Big chances missed | 1.1 |
| 38.9 | Pressure share % | 47.5 |
| 16.9 | Tackles | 17.9 |
| 14.8 | Fouls | 12.3 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 10 and 10 measured matches.
Le Mans vs AS Monaco: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Le Mans have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of the last 1 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Le Mans 1, AS Monaco 1 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Le Mans 1-1 AS Monaco (November 8th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 1 meetings Le Mans won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Le Mans | 1 – 1 | AS Monaco |
Players to watch
Le Mans
- Lucas Bretelle DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 62 · Reads the game, Press-resistant (top 6% of his position)
- Rayan Bamba RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 56 · Dribbler, Crosser (top 16% of his position)
AS Monaco
- Lamine Camara CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 62 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 8% of his position)
- Paris Brunner CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 54 · Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring, Gets into scoring positions (top 24% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lucas Calodat
Lucas Calodat, 24 · Le Mans · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 72
Lucas Calodat, 24, plays as a wing-back for Le Mans in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and expected assists (est.). Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 72
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 71
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 67
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 1.84 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.33 / 90 | 87% |
| Dribbled past | 0.28 / 90 | 84% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.55 / 90 | 81% |
| Interceptions | 1.41 / 90 | 77% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Creator, Hard to dribble past.
- What Lucas Calodat is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lucas Calodat's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Le Mans vs AS Monaco prediction
AS Monaco should have more of the ball, with Le Mans likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Le Mans go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.36 for Le Mans and 1.43 for AS Monaco - with over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 57%. AS Monaco have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Le Mans 1-2 AS Monaco
Le Mans vs AS Monaco: what the numbers say
- 1. AS Monaco win, the likeliest result 57% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.78 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (53%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.3 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 7.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Le Mans vs AS Monaco: questions and answers
When is Le Mans vs AS Monaco?
Le Mans vs AS Monaco is on Monday 9 November 2026, in Ligue 1.
Where is Le Mans vs AS Monaco played?
At Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans's home ground.
Who will win Le Mans vs AS Monaco?
AS Monaco are the favourites: Le Mans 18%, draw 25%, AS Monaco 57%. Our prediction is Le Mans 1-2 AS Monaco.
Who is the player to watch in Le Mans vs AS Monaco?
Lucas Calodat of Le Mans: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 72 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs AS Monaco?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.