Lecce vs Juventus Prediction and Betting Tips
Serie A · Monday 26 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Lecce welcome Juventus to Stadio Comunale Via del Mare in Lecce in Serie A action on Monday 26 October 2026.
Lecce have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Juventus have played 6 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Juventus are clear favourites at 65%, with the draw at 22% and Lecce at 13%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.4% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Lecce +1.25 at 1.86, Juventus at 2.04. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.93, under 1.95, which gives over 50%.
Lecce: form and key numbers
In style Lecce are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.04 a match created, 1.99 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 10.2 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 41.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Juventus: form and key numbers
In style Juventus keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.61 a match created, 0.59 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 18.3 a match, 6.5 on target.
- Possession: 58.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 8.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.97.
Lecce vs Juventus: season averages side by side
| Lecce | Per match | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.61 |
| 1.99 | xG conceded | 0.59 |
| 1.00 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 10.2 | Shots | 18.3 |
| 3.7 | Shots on target | 6.5 |
| 1.3 | Big chances missed | 2.0 |
| 29.5 | Pressure share % | 77.2 |
| 21.7 | Tackles | 14.3 |
| 13.3 | Fouls | 13.7 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Lecce vs Juventus: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Lecce have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Lecce 3, Juventus 5 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Lecce 0-1 Juventus (May 9th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Lecce won 0, drew 2 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | Lecce | 0 – 1 | Juventus |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Juventus | 1 – 1 | Lecce |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Juventus | 2 – 1 | Lecce |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Lecce | 1 – 1 | Juventus |
Players to watch
Lecce
- Tiago Gabriel CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 62 · Secure passer, Duel winner (top 11% of his position)
- Danilo Veiga RWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 52 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 10% of his position)
Juventus
- Zeki Çelik RB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 70 · Creator, Chance creator (top 8% of his position)
- Douglas Luiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 69 · Ball circulator, Secure passer (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Francisco Conceição
Francisco Conceição, 23 · Juventus · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 65
Francisco Conceição, 23, plays as a winger for Juventus in Serie A. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and shots. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 65
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 61
- RM · Wide midfielder Competent, 53
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.76 / 90 | 94% |
| Shots | 2.85 / 90 | 74% |
| Big chances created | 0.44 / 90 | 68% |
| Dispossessed | 0.88 / 90 | 67% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.24 / 90 | 67% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★½ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Crosser.
- What Francisco Conceição is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Francisco Conceição's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Lecce vs Juventus prediction
Juventus should have more of the ball, with Lecce likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Juventus work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 0.91 for Lecce and 1.69 for Juventus - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 49%. Juventus have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Lecce 0-1 Juventus
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Lecce vs Juventus betting tips
- Tip 1: Juventus to win 65% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.60 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (48%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 13.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Serie A previews
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- AC Milan vs Atalanta Sunday 18 October 2026
- Juventus vs Lazio Sunday 18 October 2026
- Monza vs Cagliari Monday 19 October 2026
- Parma Calcio vs Torino Monday 19 October 2026
Lecce vs Juventus: questions and answers
When is Lecce vs Juventus?
Lecce vs Juventus is on Monday 26 October 2026, in Serie A.
Where is Lecce vs Juventus played?
At Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce, Lecce's home ground.
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
Juventus are the favourites: Lecce 13%, draw 22%, Juventus 65%. Our prediction is Lecce 0-1 Juventus.
Who is the player to watch in Lecce vs Juventus?
Francisco Conceição of Juventus: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Lecce vs Juventus?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
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