Lech Poznań 0-4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Enea stadion, Poznań · referee M. Milanović · full time
Full time: Lech Poznań 0-4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 4-0 away at Lech Poznań in Europa League Matchday 2 on Thursday 15 October 2026. The goals: Patrik Schick 29', Malik Tillman 32', Patrik Schick 41', Ibrahim Maza 88'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Bayer 04 Leverkusen won it
Patrik Schick put Bayer 04 Leverkusen ahead in the 29th minute from the penalty spot. Malik Tillman made it 0-2 to Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the 32nd minute. Patrik Schick from the penalty spot made it 0-3 to Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the 41st minute. Ibrahim Maza made it 0-4 to Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the 88th minute, set up by Afonso Moreira.
It was 0-3 at half-time.
Patrik Schick scored twice.
The referee, M. Milanović, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Lech Poznań and 2 to Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Lech Poznań: N. Frederiksen, 4-4-2 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen: C. Martínez Novell, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 at 1.83, came in: 0-4 settles it as a winner.
The estimate's most likely result was a Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at 57%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.3 expected, 4 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 62%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Lech Poznań had 3 shots on target, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 10.
Lech Poznań's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen had 61% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Lech Poznań came into it with 6 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 0.96 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.0 a match, with 3.52 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.
Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: the match in numbers
| Lech Poznań | Match statistics | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 39% | Ball possession | 61% |
| 10 | Total shots | 22 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 0 | Big chances | 8 |
| 370 | Total passes | 584 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 91% |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 13 | Tackles | 15 |
| 7 | Saves | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Patrik Schick (Bayer 04 Leverkusen), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Lech Poznań
- Mateusz Lis 7.2
- Mikael Ishak 6.9
- Patrik Wålemark 6.9
- Pablo Rodríguez 6.5
- Wojciech Mońka 6.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Patrik Schick 8.3 2 goals
- Ibrahim Maza 8.1 1 goal
- Malik Tillman 8.1 1 goal
- Edmond Tapsoba 7.4
- Lucas Vázquez 7.3
The lowest-rated starter was Mateusz Skrzypczak at 5.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Lech Poznań: Lech Poznań vs Sunderland Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa League
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Sunday 18 October 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
What was the score in Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Lech Poznań 0-4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (half-time 0-3), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Patrik Schick 29', Malik Tillman 32', Patrik Schick 41', Ibrahim Maza 88'.
Did Moneyball predict Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 at 1.83, came in: 0-4 settles it as a winner.
Who was man of the match in Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Patrik Schick, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
M. Milanović.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.