Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 10
Premier League · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Elland Road, Leeds · updated 2026-10-24
Leeds United welcome Tottenham Hotspur to Elland Road in Leeds in Premier League Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Leeds United have played 7 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 29% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Tottenham Hotspur have played 7 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 14% of them. Away from home they average 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Leeds United are narrow favourites at 50%, with the draw at 28% and Tottenham Hotspur at 22%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Leeds United 1.49, Tottenham Hotspur 0.91.
- Over 2.5 goals: 43% · both teams to score: 47%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Leeds United: form and key numbers
In style Leeds United play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.32 a match created, 1.42 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 12.0 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 46.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Tottenham Hotspur: form and key numbers
In style Tottenham Hotspur keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.14 a match created, 1.45 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.0).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 59.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: season averages side by side
| Leeds United | Per match this season | Tottenham Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.32 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.14 |
| 1.42 | xG conceded | 1.45 |
| 12.0 | Shots | 14.1 |
| 4.0 | On target | 3.9 |
| 46.9 | Possession % | 59.7 |
| 29% | Clean sheets % | 29% |
| 71% | Both teams scored % | 43% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 6.6 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.87 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Leeds United
- James Trafford GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 71 · Long passer, Shot-stopper (top 17% of his position)
- Tarik Muharemović CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 67 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 6% of his position)
Tottenham Hotspur
- Mateus Fernandes CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Creator, Secure passer (top 9% of his position)
- Mohammed Kudus RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 70 · Dribbler, Draws fouls (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Savinho
Savinho, 22 · Tottenham Hotspur · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 79
Savinho, 22, plays as a winger for Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 79
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 75
- LM · Wide midfielder Competent, 67
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 4.89 / 90 | 98% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 96% |
| Big chances created | 0.82 / 90 | 95% |
| Key passes | 2.99 / 90 | 93% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.63 / 90 | 91% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Creator, Big-chance creator.
- What Savinho is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
Tottenham Hotspur should have more of the ball, with Leeds United likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Leeds United are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Tottenham Hotspur like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.49 for Leeds United and 0.91 for Tottenham Hotspur - with over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 47%. Leeds United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Leeds United 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur betting tips
- Tip 1: Leeds United win or draw (double chance) 78% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 57% by the model, 2.40 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 10.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Premier League previews
- Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 24 October 2026
- Sunderland vs Leeds United Sunday 25 October 2026
- Chelsea vs Manchester United Saturday 31 October 2026
- Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Saturday 31 October 2026
- Hull City vs Ipswich Town Saturday 31 October 2026
- Coventry City vs Sunderland Saturday 31 October 2026
- Brentford vs Nottingham Forest Saturday 31 October 2026
- AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United Saturday 31 October 2026
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: questions and answers
When is Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 10.
Where is Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur played?
At Elland Road, Leeds, Leeds United's home ground.
Who will win Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Leeds United are the favourites: Leeds United 50%, draw 28%, Tottenham Hotspur 22%. Our prediction is Leeds United 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur.
Who is the player to watch in Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Savinho of Tottenham Hotspur: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 79 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.