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Lens 0–2 Sporting Lisbon: Result, Report and Stats

This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.

Result: Lens 0 – 2 Sporting Lisbon

Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in the Match Centre.

Lens welcome Sporting Lisbon to Stade Bollaert-Delelis in Lens in UEFA Champions League action on Wednesday 14 October 2026.

Lens have played 6 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate. Sporting Lisbon have played 2 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.5 goals a game and winning 100% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 50% win rate.

On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Lens 40%, the draw 26%, Sporting Lisbon 34%.

The odds

Lens2.2640%
Draw3.4826%
Sporting Lisbon2.6934%

Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Lens 0 at 1.75, Sporting Lisbon at 2.14. The main goals line is 3: over 1.93, under 1.94, which gives over 50%.

Lens: form and key numbers

In style Lens press high, cross a lot, create plenty of chances.

Sporting Lisbon: form and key numbers

Lens vs Sporting Lisbon: season averages side by side

LensPer matchSporting Lisbon
1.98Expected goals (xG)1.41
1.81xG conceded–
1.83Goals2.50
14.8Shots9.5
6.5Shots on target5.0
2.8Big chances missed1.0
58.2Pressure share %–
17.3Tackles17.5
11.7Fouls12.5
1.8Yellow cards1.0

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 2 measured matches.

Lens vs Sporting Lisbon: head-to-head stats and key numbers

Head to head

In their last 1 meetings Lens won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

DateHomeScoreAway
13 Oct 2026Lens0 – 2Sporting Lisbon

Players to watch

Lens

Scouting spotlight: Florian Thauvin

Florian Thauvin, 33 · Lens · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 74

Florian Thauvin, 33, plays as a winger for Lens in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Successful dribbles 27Expected goals 97Expected assists 99Key passes 93Shots 75Accurate crosses 100Big chances created 97Fouls won 40Dispossessed 13

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • RW · Winger Natural, 74
  • LW · Winger Accomplished, 70
  • CAM · Attacking midfielder Competent, 67

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Accurate crosses3.00 / 90100%
Expected assists (est.)0.48 / 9099%
Expected goals0.61 / 9097%
Big chances created1.00 / 9097%
Key passes3.17 / 9093%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★★ Creative winger Winger
  • ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
  • ★★★★ Creator Attacking midfielder

Scout's notes: Crosser, Creator, Gets into scoring positions.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Florian Thauvin is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Florian Thauvin's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Lens vs Sporting Lisbon prediction

Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.46 for Lens and 1.66 for Sporting Lisbon - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 63%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.

Prediction: Lens 1-1 Sporting Lisbon

The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre

Lens vs Sporting Lisbon betting tips

  1. Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
  2. Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.12 goals expected
  3. Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 63% by the model
  4. Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.8 cards a match between them
  5. Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.0 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Moneyball's pick

The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. This match is one of the free picks of its schedule.

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Lens vs Sporting Lisbon: questions and answers

When is Lens vs Sporting Lisbon?

Lens vs Sporting Lisbon is on Wednesday 14 October 2026, in UEFA Champions League.

Where is Lens vs Sporting Lisbon played?

At Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens, Lens's home ground.

Who will win Lens vs Sporting Lisbon?

It is close: Lens 40%, draw 26%, Sporting Lisbon 34%. Our prediction is Lens 1-1 Sporting Lisbon.

Who is the player to watch in Lens vs Sporting Lisbon?

Florian Thauvin of Lens: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Lens vs Sporting Lisbon?

Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.