Liverpool 0-3 Manchester City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Premier League Matchday 6 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · Anfield, Liverpool · referee C. Kavanagh · full time
Full time: Liverpool 0-3 Manchester City
Liverpool 0-3 Manchester City: Manchester City took the points in Premier League Matchday 6 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Anfield. The goals: Erling Haaland 65', Jérémy Doku 68', Rayan Cherki 78'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Manchester City won it
Erling Haaland put Manchester City ahead in the 65th minute. Jérémy Doku made it 0-2 to Manchester City in the 68th minute, set up by Elliot Anderson. Rayan Cherki made it 0-3 to Manchester City in the 78th minute, set up by Josko Gvardiol.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Ryan Gravenberch of Liverpool was sent off in the 62nd minute for a second yellow card. The referee, C. Kavanagh, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Liverpool and 2 to Manchester City.
Liverpool: A. Iraola, 4-2-3-1 · Manchester City: E. Maresca, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 38% for a Manchester City win before the match. The scoreline, 0-3, was not the estimate's first choice (1-1).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The bookmakers, margin removed, had a Manchester City win at 41%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.06 for Liverpool and 1.27 for Manchester City.
Liverpool scored about 1.1 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Manchester City made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.7 goals.
Liverpool had 6 shots on target, Manchester City 4.
Manchester City's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Manchester City had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Liverpool came into it with 6 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.74 expected goals for and 1.28 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Manchester City came into it with 6 Premier League matches played, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.88 expected goals for and 1.13 against, and had won 100% of their matches.
Liverpool vs Manchester City: the match in numbers
| Liverpool | Match statistics | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 35% | Ball possession | 65% |
| 1.06 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.27 |
| 13 | Total shots | 15 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 0 | Big chances | 3 |
| 301 | Total passes | 562 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 15 | Tackles | 10 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Rayan Cherki (Manchester City), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Liverpool
- Alexis Mac Allister 6.9
- Florian Wirtz 6.9
- Ryan Gravenberch 6.9
- Bradley Barcola 6.8
- Jérémy Jacquet 6.8
Manchester City
- Rayan Cherki 8.1 1 goal
- Jérémy Doku 8.1 1 goal
- Gianluigi Donnarumma 7.8
- Elliot Anderson 7.7 1 assist
- Erling Haaland 7.1 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Alisson at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Liverpool: Brentford vs Liverpool Saturday 17 October 2026 · Premier League
- Manchester City: Manchester City vs Ipswich Town Saturday 17 October 2026 · Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Liverpool vs Manchester City
What was the score in Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Liverpool 0-3 Manchester City (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Sunday 11 October 2026.
Who scored in Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Erling Haaland 65', Jérémy Doku 68', Rayan Cherki 78'.
Did Moneyball predict Liverpool vs Manchester City correctly?
A correct call on the result: 38% for a Manchester City win before the match. The scoreline, 0-3, was not the estimate's first choice (1-1).
Who was man of the match in Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Rayan Cherki, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Liverpool vs Manchester City?
C. Kavanagh.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.