Lorient 1-0 Paris: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Ligue 1 Matchday 6 · Saturday 10 October 2026 · Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient · referee J. Brisard · full time
Full time: Lorient 1-0 Paris
Lorient beat Paris 1-0 in Ligue 1 Matchday 6 on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir. The goals: Gabin Bernardeau 68'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Lorient won it
Lorient struck first through Gabin Bernardeau in the 68th minute, set up by Jean-Victor Makengo.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, J. Brisard, showed 7 yellow cards: 2 to Lorient and 5 to Paris.
Lorient: A. Dujeux, 3-4-2-1 · Paris: L. Rosenior, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Paris win at 44% and gave a Lorient win 27%; the match went the other way.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.3 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 41%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 47%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.95 for Lorient and 0.73 for Paris.
Lorient had 5 shots on target, Paris 3.
Paris had 60% of the ball, but Lorient took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Lorient came into it with 6 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.07 expected goals for and 1.33 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Paris came into it with 6 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.54 expected goals for and 0.83 against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Lorient vs Paris: the match in numbers
| Lorient | Match statistics | Paris |
|---|---|---|
| 40% | Ball possession | 60% |
| 0.95 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.73 |
| 8 | Total shots | 17 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 0 | Big chances | 1 |
| 470 | Total passes | 699 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 13 | Tackles | 12 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Maxime Lopez (Paris), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Lorient
- Jean-Victor Makengo 7.6 1 assist
- Gabin Bernardeau 7.5 1 goal
- Montassar Talbi 7.3
- Nathaniel Adjei 7.2
- Arsène Kouassi 7.2
Paris
- Maxime Lopez 8.0
- Pablo Pagis 7.1
- Hamari Traoré 7.1
- Ilan Kebbal 7.0
- Diego Coppola 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Lassine Sinayoko at 6.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Lorient: Lorient vs Monaco Sunday 18 October 2026 · Ligue 1
- Paris: Paris vs Rennes Sunday 18 October 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Lorient vs Paris
What was the score in Lorient vs Paris?
Lorient 1-0 Paris (half-time 0-0), Ligue 1, Saturday 10 October 2026.
Who scored in Lorient vs Paris?
Gabin Bernardeau 68'.
Did Moneyball predict Lorient vs Paris correctly?
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Paris win at 44% and gave a Lorient win 27%; the match went the other way.
Who was man of the match in Lorient vs Paris?
Maxime Lopez, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Lorient vs Paris?
J. Brisard.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.