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Olympique Lyonnais 3-2 Crystal Palace: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Olympique Lyonnais 3-2 Crystal Palace

Olympique Lyonnais won 3-2 at home to Crystal Palace in Europa League Matchday 2 on Thursday 15 October 2026. The goals: Corentin Tolisso 8', Ernest Nuamah 45+2', Yéremy Pino 50', Pavel Sulc 76', Daichi Kamada 81'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Olympique Lyonnais won it

Olympique Lyonnais struck first through Corentin Tolisso in the 8th minute. Ernest Nuamah made it 2-0 to Olympique Lyonnais in the 45th minute (+2), set up by Keito Nakamura. Yéremy Pino made it 2-1 to Crystal Palace in the 50th minute, set up by Adam Wharton. Pavel Sulc made it 3-1 to Olympique Lyonnais in the 76th minute, set up by Keito Nakamura. Daichi Kamada made it 3-2 to Crystal Palace in the 81st minute.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

The referee, J. Silva Pinheiro, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Olympique Lyonnais and 3 to Crystal Palace.

Olympique Lyonnais: P. Rodrigues Fonseca, 4-3-1-2 · Crystal Palace: P. Sage, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 2.75 at 1.92, came in: 3-2 settles it as a winner.

The estimate's most likely result was an Olympique Lyonnais win at 43%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.9 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The bookmakers, margin removed, had an Olympique Lyonnais win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Olympique Lyonnais had 4 shots on target, Crystal Palace 4.

Olympique Lyonnais had 50% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Olympique Lyonnais came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 2.18 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.

Crystal Palace came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 2.29 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace: the match in numbers

Olympique LyonnaisMatch statisticsCrystal Palace
50%Ball possession50%
11Total shots12
4Shots on target4
4Big chances4
491Total passes488
87%Pass accuracy85%
5Corners3
4Fouls8
0Offsides1
9Tackles14
2Saves1
1Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Keito Nakamura (Olympique Lyonnais), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 2 assists.

Olympique Lyonnais

Crystal Palace

The lowest-rated starter was Walter Benítez at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace

What was the score in Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace?

Olympique Lyonnais 3-2 Crystal Palace (half-time 2-0), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace?

Corentin Tolisso 8', Ernest Nuamah 45+2', Yéremy Pino 50', Pavel Sulc 76', Daichi Kamada 81'.

Did Moneyball predict Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Over 2.75 at 1.92, came in: 3-2 settles it as a winner.

Who was man of the match in Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace?

Keito Nakamura, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace?

J. Silva Pinheiro.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.