Málaga 1-1 Espanyol: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
La Liga Matchday 8 · Friday 9 October 2026 · Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga · referee F. Hernández Maeso · full time
Full time: Málaga 1-1 Espanyol
Málaga and Espanyol drew 1-1 in La Liga Matchday 8 on Friday 9 October 2026 at Estadio La Rosaleda. The goals: Bryan Zaragoza 13', Adrián Niño Heredia 90+3'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.
How the match unfolded
Espanyol struck first through Bryan Zaragoza in the 13th minute, set up by Javi Hernández. Málaga levelled at 1-1 in the 90th minute (+3) through Adrián Niño Heredia, set up by Rafita Garrido. It came with the clock nearly run down, and it rescued a point.
It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, F. Hernández Maeso, showed 9 yellow cards: 4 to Málaga and 5 to Espanyol.
Málaga: J. Funes Arjona, 4-1-4-1 · Espanyol: J. González Álvarez, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Right result, right score: 1-1 was the estimate's most likely scoreline at 13%, and it came in.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.4 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 44%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 49%; both did, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.31 for Málaga and 0.97 for Espanyol.
Málaga had 7 shots on target, Espanyol 4.
Espanyol's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Málaga had 58% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Málaga came into it with 8 La Liga matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 0.87 expected goals for and 1.78 against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Espanyol came into it with 9 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.32 expected goals for and 1.17 against, and had won 22% of their matches.
Málaga vs Espanyol: the match in numbers
| Málaga | Match statistics | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Ball possession | 42% |
| 1.31 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.97 |
| 15 | Total shots | 9 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 0 | Big chances | 2 |
| 484 | Total passes | 353 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 15 | Tackles | 25 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: David Larrubia (Málaga), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Málaga
- David Larrubia 7.8
- Pablo Martínez 7.5
- Rafita Garrido 7.5 1 assist
- Adrián Niño Heredia 7.4 1 goal
- Dani Lorenzo 7.3
Espanyol
- Ángel Fortuño 7.6
- Bryan Zaragoza 7.6 1 goal
- Roberto Fernández 7.2
- Edu Expósito 7.0
- Javi Hernández 6.9 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Chupe at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Málaga: Málaga vs Real Sociedad Sunday 18 October 2026 · La Liga
- Espanyol: Racing Santander vs Espanyol Saturday 24 October 2026 · La Liga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Málaga vs Espanyol
What was the score in Málaga vs Espanyol?
Málaga 1-1 Espanyol (half-time 0-1), La Liga, Friday 9 October 2026.
Who scored in Málaga vs Espanyol?
Bryan Zaragoza 13', Adrián Niño Heredia 90+3'.
Did Moneyball predict Málaga vs Espanyol correctly?
Right result, right score: 1-1 was the estimate's most likely scoreline at 13%, and it came in.
Who was man of the match in Málaga vs Espanyol?
David Larrubia, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Málaga vs Espanyol?
F. Hernández Maeso.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.