Manchester City 2-4 Paris Saint Germain: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Champions League Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October 2026 · Etihad Stadium, Manchester · referee Sven Jablonski · full time
Full time: Manchester City 2-4 Paris Saint Germain
Manchester City 2-4 Paris Saint Germain: Paris Saint Germain took the points in Champions League Matchday 2 on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at Etihad Stadium. The goals: Désiré Doué 13', Ousmane Dembélé 15', Vitinha 32', Erling Haaland 53', Maghnes Akliouche 62', Erling Haaland 75'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Paris Saint Germain won it
The opening goal came in the 13th minute: Désiré Doué for Paris Saint Germain, set up by Fabián Ruiz. Ousmane Dembélé made it 0-2 to Paris Saint Germain in the 15th minute, set up by Désiré Doué. Vitinha made it 0-3 to Paris Saint Germain in the 32nd minute, set up by Warren Zaïre-Emery. Erling Haaland made it 1-3 to Manchester City in the 53rd minute, set up by Iliman Ndiaye. Maghnes Akliouche made it 1-4 to Paris Saint Germain in the 62nd minute, set up by Ousmane Dembélé. Erling Haaland made it 2-4 to Manchester City in the 75th minute, set up by Ayyoub Bouaddi.
It was 0-3 at half-time.
Erling Haaland scored twice.
The referee, Sven Jablonski, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Manchester City and 1 to Paris Saint Germain. Ferran Torres missed a penalty for Paris Saint Germain in the 90 minute.
Manchester City: E. Maresca, 4-2-3-1 · Paris Saint Germain: L. Martínez García, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Under 1.50 at 1.80, and on the half-time score, 0-3 it lost.
The estimate's most likely result was a Manchester City win at 45%; a Paris Saint Germain win, at 32%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (9%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.5 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 69%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Manchester City had 9 shots on target, Paris Saint Germain 10.
Manchester City's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Manchester City had 54% of the ball, but Paris Saint Germain took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Manchester City came into it with 2 Champions League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 2.70 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Paris Saint Germain came into it with 2 Champions League matches played, scoring 5.0 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 3.05 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.
Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain: the match in numbers
| Manchester City | Match statistics | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Ball possession | 46% |
| 27 | Total shots | 15 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 6 | Big chances | 3 |
| 499 | Total passes | 445 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 23 | Tackles | 22 |
| 6 | Saves | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Désiré Doué (Paris Saint Germain), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Manchester City
- Erling Haaland 8.4 2 goals
- Enzo Fernández 7.6
- Josko Gvardiol 7.5
- Iliman Ndiaye 7.4 1 assist
- Ayyoub Bouaddi 7.1 1 assist
Paris Saint Germain
- Désiré Doué 8.4 1 goal, 1 assist
- Vitinha 8.1 1 goal
- Ousmane Dembélé 7.5 1 goal, 1 assist
- Matvey Safonov 7.4
- Nuno Mendes 7.3
The lowest-rated starter was Rúben Dias at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Manchester City: Manchester City vs Ipswich Town Saturday 17 October 2026 · Premier League
- Paris Saint Germain: Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 17 October 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain
What was the score in Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain?
Manchester City 2-4 Paris Saint Germain (half-time 0-3), Champions League, Wednesday 14 October 2026.
Who scored in Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain?
Désiré Doué 13', Ousmane Dembélé 15', Vitinha 32', Erling Haaland 53', Maghnes Akliouche 62', Erling Haaland 75'.
Did Moneyball predict Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Under 1.50 at 1.80, and on the half-time score, 0-3 it lost.
Who was man of the match in Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain?
Désiré Doué, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain?
Sven Jablonski.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.