Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 8
Premier League · Sunday 25 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Manchester United welcome Bournemouth AFC to Old Trafford in Manchester in Premier League Gameweek 8 action on Sunday 25 October 2026.
Manchester United have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate. Bournemouth AFC have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Manchester United are narrow favourites at 50%, with the draw at 25% and Bournemouth AFC at 25%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.0% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Manchester United -0.5 at 1.83, Bournemouth AFC at 2.08. The main goals line is 3.25: over 2.05, under 1.83, which gives over 47%.
Manchester United: form and key numbers
In style Manchester United keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.85 a match created, 1.14 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.1).
- Shots: 20.8 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 58.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Bournemouth AFC: form and key numbers
In style Bournemouth AFC play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.44 a match created, 1.20 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC: season averages side by side
| Manchester United | Per match | Bournemouth AFC |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.44 |
| 1.14 | xG conceded | 1.20 |
| 1.50 | Goals | 1.17 |
| 20.8 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 5.3 | Shots on target | 5.0 |
| 1.7 | Big chances missed | 2.3 |
| 67.0 | Pressure share % | 54.3 |
| 15.7 | Tackles | 16.3 |
| 10.3 | Fouls | 12.5 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Manchester United have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Manchester United 7, Bournemouth AFC 10 - 4.3 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Bournemouth AFC 2-2 Manchester United (March 20th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Manchester United won 0, drew 3 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | Bournemouth AFC | 2 – 2 | Manchester United |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Manchester United | 4 – 4 | Bournemouth AFC |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Bournemouth AFC | 1 – 1 | Manchester United |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Manchester United | 0 – 3 | Bournemouth AFC |
Players to watch
Manchester United
- Kobbie Mainoo CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 70 · Dribbler, Secure passer (top 1% of his position)
- Youri Tielemans CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 69 · Ball circulator, Press-resistant (top 7% of his position)
Bournemouth AFC
- Adrien Truffert LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 73 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 3% of his position)
- James Hill CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 65 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Marcus Rashford
Marcus Rashford, 28 · Manchester United · LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 71
Marcus Rashford, 28, plays as a winger for Manchester United in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in dispossessed and key passes. Weakest in big chances created. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 71
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 67
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dispossessed | 0.25 / 90 | 97% |
| Key passes | 3.30 / 90 | 95% |
| Shots | 3.30 / 90 | 87% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.03 / 90 | 75% |
| Fouls won | 2.03 / 90 | 74% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Dribbling playmaker Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Press-resistant, Chance creator, High shot volume.
- What Marcus Rashford is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Marcus Rashford's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC prediction
Manchester United should have more of the ball, with Bournemouth AFC likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Manchester United work the ball wide and cross; Bournemouth AFC are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.91 for Manchester United and 1.17 for Bournemouth AFC - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 59%. Manchester United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Manchester United 2-1 Bournemouth AFC
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC betting tips
- Tip 1: Manchester United win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.09 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC: questions and answers
When is Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC?
Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC is on Sunday 25 October 2026, in Premier League Gameweek 8.
Where is Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC played?
At Old Trafford, Manchester, Manchester United's home ground.
Who will win Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC?
Manchester United are the favourites: Manchester United 50%, draw 25%, Bournemouth AFC 25%. Our prediction is Manchester United 2-1 Bournemouth AFC.
Who is the player to watch in Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC?
Marcus Rashford of Manchester United: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 71 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Bournemouth AFC?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
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