Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Bryan Mbeumo put Manchester United ahead in the 73rd minute, set up by Matheus Cunha. Tottenham Hotspur levelled at 1-1 in the 90th minute (+2) through Dominic Solanke, set up by Sandro Tonali. It came with the clock nearly run down, and it rescued a point.

It was 0-0 at half-time.

Rodrigo Bentancur of Tottenham Hotspur was sent off in the 78th minute. The referee, S. Attwell, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Manchester United and 3 to Tottenham Hotspur.

Manchester United: M. Carrick, 4-2-3-1 · Tottenham Hotspur: R. De Zerbi, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Manchester United win at 62% and gave a draw 22%; the match went the other way. At 22%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 52%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.66 for Manchester United and 0.75 for Tottenham Hotspur.

Manchester United created the better chances, 1.66 xG to 0.75, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Manchester United had 4 shots on target, Tottenham Hotspur 3.

Manchester United had 50% of the ball.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Manchester United came into it with 6 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.85 expected goals for and 1.14 against, and had won 17% of their matches.

Tottenham Hotspur came into it with 6 Premier League matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.15 expected goals for and 1.52 against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United), rated 7.4 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Manchester United

• Bryan Mbeumo 7.4 1 goal
• Carlos Baleba 7.2
• Matheus Cunha 7.2 1 assist
• Lisandro Martínez 7.1
• Leny Jean-Luc Yoro 7.1

Tottenham Hotspur

• Sandro Tonali 7.3 1 assist
• Marcos Senesi 6.9
• James Maddison 6.9
• Dominic Solanke 6.9 1 goal
• Archie James Francis Gray 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Senne Lammens at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Manchester United: Leeds United vs Manchester United Sunday 18 October 2026 · Premier League
• Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City Monday 19 October 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur

What was the score in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Saturday 10 October 2026.

Who scored in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Bryan Mbeumo 73', Dominic Solanke 90+2'.

Did Moneyball predict Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur correctly?

The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to a Manchester United win at 62% and gave a draw 22%; the match went the other way. At 22%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

Who was man of the match in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Bryan Mbeumo, rated 7.4 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

S. Attwell.