Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction and Betting Tips
Premier League · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Manchester United welcome Tottenham Hotspur to Old Trafford in Manchester in Premier League action on Sunday 11 October 2026.
Manchester United have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate. Tottenham Hotspur have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Manchester United are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 23% and Tottenham Hotspur at 23%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Manchester United -0.75 at 1.96, Tottenham Hotspur at 1.94. The main goals line is 3: over 1.83, under 2.06, which gives over 53%.
Manchester United: form and key numbers
In style Manchester United keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.07 a match created, 1.04 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.4).
- Shots: 22.6 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 59.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Tottenham Hotspur: form and key numbers
In style Tottenham Hotspur keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.04 a match created, 1.67 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.2).
- Shots: 14.2 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 60.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 20% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: season averages side by side
| Manchester United | Per match | Tottenham Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.04 |
| 1.04 | xG conceded | 1.67 |
| 1.60 | Goals | 0.40 |
| 22.6 | Shots | 14.2 |
| 5.6 | Shots on target | 3.8 |
| 1.8 | Big chances missed | 1.6 |
| 73.4 | Pressure share % | 54.8 |
| 13.0 | Tackles | 18.6 |
| 9.8 | Fouls | 13.2 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Manchester United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Manchester United 4, Tottenham Hotspur 7 - 2.2 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Manchester United 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur (February 7th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Manchester United won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Manchester United | 2 – 0 | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 – 2 | Manchester United |
| 21 May 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 – 0 | Manchester United |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 – 0 | Manchester United |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Manchester United | 0 – 3 | Tottenham Hotspur |
Players to watch
Manchester United
- Kobbie Mainoo CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 73 · Dribbler, Secure passer (top 1% of his position)
- Youri Tielemans CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 70 · Ball circulator, Press-resistant (top 4% of his position)
Tottenham Hotspur
- Jan Paul van Hecke CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 66 · Ball circulator, Secure passer (top 6% of his position)
- Sandro Tonali DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 60 · Disciplined, Hard to dribble past (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Marcus Rashford
Marcus Rashford, 28 · Manchester United · LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 70
Marcus Rashford, 28, plays as a winger for Manchester United in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in key passes and dispossessed. Weakest in big chances created. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 70
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 66
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.31 / 90 | 96% |
| Dispossessed | 0.25 / 90 | 94% |
| Shots | 3.31 / 90 | 86% |
| Fouls won | 2.03 / 90 | 80% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.03 / 90 | 79% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Dribbling playmaker Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Press-resistant, High shot volume.
- What Marcus Rashford is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Marcus Rashford's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
Tottenham Hotspur should have more of the ball; Manchester United work the ball wide and cross; Tottenham Hotspur like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.97 for Manchester United and 0.90 for Tottenham Hotspur - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 52%. Manchester United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Manchester United 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur betting tips
- Tip 1: Manchester United win or draw (double chance) 77% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.87 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (55%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 14.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: questions and answers
When is Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur is on Sunday 11 October 2026, in the Premier League.
Where is Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur played?
At Old Trafford, Manchester, Manchester United's home ground.
Who will win Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Manchester United are the favourites: Manchester United 54%, draw 23%, Tottenham Hotspur 23%. Our prediction is Manchester United 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur.
Who is the player to watch in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Marcus Rashford of Manchester United: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 70 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.