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Olympique Marseille 0-1 Olympiacos F.C.: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Olympique Marseille 0-1 Olympiacos F.C.

Olympique Marseille 0-1 Olympiacos F.C.: Olympiacos F.C. took the points in Europa League Matchday 2 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Stade Vélodrome. The goals: Santiago Hezze 42'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Olympiacos F.C. won it

Olympiacos F.C. struck first through Santiago Hezze in the 42nd minute, set up by Chiquinho.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, M. Oliver, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Olympique Marseille and 2 to Olympiacos F.C..

Olympique Marseille: B. Génésio, 4-2-3-1 · Olympiacos F.C.: I. Alguacil Barrenetxea, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A winning call: the Match Board's pick was Olympiacos +0.50 at 1.74, and 0-1 is a win for it.

The estimate's most likely result was an Olympique Marseille win at 43%; an Olympiacos F.C. win, at 31%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.0 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 57%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Olympique Marseille had 5 shots on target, Olympiacos F.C. 4.

Olympiacos F.C.'s goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Olympique Marseille had 56% of the ball, but Olympiacos F.C. took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Olympique Marseille came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 0.95 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Olympiacos F.C. came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 1.95 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.

Olympique Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C.: the match in numbers

Olympique MarseilleMatch statisticsOlympiacos F.C.
56%Ball possession44%
11Total shots9
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
532Total passes426
86%Pass accuracy82%
9Corners1
15Fouls11
3Offsides3
15Tackles12
3Saves5
2Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Santiago Hezze (Olympiacos F.C.), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Olympique Marseille

Olympiacos F.C.

The lowest-rated starter was Jota Silva at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Olympique Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C.

What was the score in Olympique Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C.?

Olympique Marseille 0-1 Olympiacos F.C. (half-time 0-1), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Olympique Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C.?

Santiago Hezze 42'.

Did Moneyball predict Olympique Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C. correctly?

A winning call: the Match Board's pick was Olympiacos +0.50 at 1.74, and 0-1 is a win for it.

Who was man of the match in Olympique Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C.?

Santiago Hezze, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Olympique Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C.?

M. Oliver.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.