Mjällby 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Olympia, Helsingborg · referee M. Antoniou · full time
Full time: Mjällby 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes
Mjällby 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes: Mjällby took the points in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Olympia. The goals: Jacob Bergström 54', Axel Norén 65'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Mjällby won it
Jacob Bergström put Mjällby ahead in the 54th minute. Axel Norén made it 2-0 to Mjällby in the 65th minute, set up by Abdullah Iqbal.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, M. Antoniou, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to Mjällby and 1 to Inter Club d'Escaldes.
Mjällby: A. Brännström, 3-5-1-1 · Inter Club d'Escaldes: F. Ortiz Martinez, 4-1-4-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Inter Club d'Escaldes +1.75 at 1.55. On 2-0 it lost half: half the stake came back.
The estimate's most likely result was a Mjällby win at 70%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (12%), exactly the final score.
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 49%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Mjällby had 7 shots on target, Inter Club d'Escaldes 0.
Inter Club d'Escaldes had 56% of the ball, but Mjällby took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Mjällby came into it with 1 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.0 a match, with 1.51 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.
Inter Club d'Escaldes came into it with 5 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 0.08 expected goals for and – against, and had won 40% of their matches.
Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: the match in numbers
| Mjällby | Match statistics | Inter Club d'Escaldes |
|---|---|---|
| 44% | Ball possession | 56% |
| 13 | Total shots | 9 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 4 | Big chances | 1 |
| 428 | Total passes | 555 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 33 | Tackles | 26 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Axel Norén (Mjällby), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Mjällby
- Axel Norén 7.9 1 goal
- Abdullah Iqbal 7.5 1 assist
- Jacob Bergström 7.5 1 goal
- Jeppe Kjær 7.5
- Tony Miettinen 7.1
Inter Club d'Escaldes
- Maurizio Pochettino 7.3
- Faysal Chouaib 6.8
- Jilmar Torres 6.7
- Robin Lafarge 6.7
- Víctor Alonso 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was Domi Berlanga at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Mjällby: FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjällby Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Inter Club d'Escaldes: Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
What was the score in Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Mjällby 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Jacob Bergström 54', Axel Norén 65'.
Did Moneyball predict Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Inter Club d'Escaldes +1.75 at 1.55. On 2-0 it lost half: half the stake came back.
Who was man of the match in Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Axel Norén, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
M. Antoniou.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.