Monaco 2-2 Toulouse: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Edan Diop put Monaco ahead in the 29th minute, set up by Aleksandr Golovin. Matthis Abline made it 2-0 to Monaco in the 38th minute, set up by Edan Diop. Casper Tengstedt from the penalty spot made it 2-1 to Toulouse in the 48th minute. Toulouse levelled at 2-2 in the 59th minute through Sion Oppong, set up by Casper Tengstedt.

Monaco were two goals up and could not hold on: Toulouse came back from two down for a draw.

It was 2-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, R. Buquet, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Monaco and 2 to Toulouse.

Monaco: F. Kasmirski, 4-2-3-1 · Toulouse: J. Askou, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Monaco win the likeliest outcome (51%), and a draw, at 25%, is what happened. At 25%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 57%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.41 for Monaco and 1.28 for Toulouse.

Monaco had 4 shots on target, Toulouse 4.

Monaco had 58% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Monaco came into it with 6 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.20 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 67% of their matches.

Toulouse came into it with 7 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.80 expected goals for and 1.71 against, and had won 29% of their matches.

Monaco vs Toulouse: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Casper Tengstedt (Toulouse), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Monaco

• Edan Diop 7.7 1 goal, 1 assist
• Lamine Camara 7.5
• Aleksandr Golovin 7.4 1 assist
• Matthis Abline 7.0 1 goal
• Sadibou Sané 7.0

Toulouse

• Casper Tengstedt 8.0 1 goal, 1 assist
• Cristian Cásseres Jr. 7.0
• Mark McKenzie 7.0
• Sion Oppong 7.0 1 goal
• Christ Tapé 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Thomas Jørgensen at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Monaco: Lorient vs Monaco Sunday 18 October 2026 · Ligue 1
• Toulouse: Toulouse vs Troyes Saturday 24 October 2026 · Ligue 1

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Monaco vs Toulouse

What was the score in Monaco vs Toulouse?

Monaco 2-2 Toulouse (half-time 2-0), Ligue 1, Saturday 10 October 2026.

Who scored in Monaco vs Toulouse?

Edan Diop 29', Matthis Abline 38', Casper Tengstedt 48', Sion Oppong 59'.

Did Moneyball predict Monaco vs Toulouse correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Monaco win the likeliest outcome (51%), and a draw, at 25%, is what happened. At 25%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

Who was man of the match in Monaco vs Toulouse?

Casper Tengstedt, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Monaco vs Toulouse?

R. Buquet.