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Napoli 3-0 Frosinone: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Napoli 3-0 Frosinone

Napoli won 3-0 at home to Frosinone in Serie A Matchday 6 on Saturday 10 October 2026. The goals: Kevin De Bruyne 29', Noa Lang 32', Kevin De Bruyne 90+4'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Napoli won it

The opening goal came in the 29th minute: Kevin De Bruyne from the penalty spot for Napoli. Noa Lang made it 2-0 to Napoli in the 32nd minute. Kevin De Bruyne made it 3-0 to Napoli in the 90th minute (+4), set up by Giovane.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Kevin De Bruyne scored twice.

The referee, E. Feliciani, showed 2 yellow cards: 2 to Napoli and 0 to Frosinone. Rasmus Højlund missed a penalty for Napoli in the 27 minute.

Napoli: M. Allegri, 3-4-2-1 · Frosinone: M. Alvini, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Napoli win the most likely outcome at 41%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-1 rather than 3-0.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 57%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 61%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.03 for Napoli and 3.13 for Frosinone.

Napoli scored about 2.0 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Frosinone left about 3.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Frosinone created the better chances, 3.13 xG to 1.03, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Napoli to create more, and Frosinone did.

Napoli had 8 shots on target, Frosinone 1.

Frosinone's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Napoli had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Napoli came into it with 7 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.85 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 43% of their matches.

Frosinone came into it with 7 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 2.15 against, and had won 57% of their matches.

Napoli vs Frosinone: the match in numbers

NapoliMatch statisticsFrosinone
51%Ball possession49%
1.03Expected goals (xG)3.13
19Total shots17
8Shots on target1
4Big chances0
456Total passes425
80%Pass accuracy84%
6Corners4
8Fouls12
1Offsides2
9Tackles18
1Saves5
2Yellow cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli), rated 8.8 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Napoli

Frosinone

The lowest-rated starter was Patrizio Masini at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Napoli vs Frosinone

What was the score in Napoli vs Frosinone?

Napoli 3-0 Frosinone (half-time 2-0), Serie A, Saturday 10 October 2026.

Who scored in Napoli vs Frosinone?

Kevin De Bruyne 29', Noa Lang 32', Kevin De Bruyne 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict Napoli vs Frosinone correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Napoli win the most likely outcome at 41%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-1 rather than 3-0.

Who was man of the match in Napoli vs Frosinone?

Kevin De Bruyne, rated 8.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Napoli vs Frosinone?

E. Feliciani.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.