NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski Sofia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 2 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Goffertstadion, Nijmegen · referee ?. Ağayev · full time
Full time: NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski Sofia
NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia drew 1-1 in Europa League Matchday 2 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Goffertstadion. The goals: Reinaldo 35', Tjaronn Chery 64'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Reinaldo put Levski Sofia ahead in the 35th minute, set up by Svetoslav Vutsov. NEC Nijmegen levelled at 1-1 in the 64th minute through Tjaronn Chery.
It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, ?. Ağayev, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to NEC Nijmegen and 0 to Levski Sofia.
NEC Nijmegen: D. Schreuder, 3-4-3 · Levski Sofia: J. Velázquez Santiago, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50 at 1.78, and on 1-1 it lost.
The estimate's most likely result was a NEC Nijmegen win at 49%; a draw, at 25%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%), exactly the final score.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 57%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
NEC Nijmegen had 9 shots on target, Levski Sofia 2.
Levski Sofia's goalkeeper made 8 saves.
NEC Nijmegen had 51% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
NEC Nijmegen came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 3.0 a match, with 1.12 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Levski Sofia came into it with 2 Europa League matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia: the match in numbers
| NEC Nijmegen | Match statistics | Levski Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 51% | Ball possession | 49% |
| 18 | Total shots | 8 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 5 | Big chances | 4 |
| 440 | Total passes | 450 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 23 | Tackles | 21 |
| 1 | Saves | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Tjaronn Chery (NEC Nijmegen), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
NEC Nijmegen
- Tjaronn Chery 8.0 1 goal
- Kevin Kers 7.7
- Deveron Fonville 7.3
- Darko Nejasmic 7.2
- Gabriel Brás 7.1
Levski Sofia
- Svetoslav Vutsov 7.8 1 assist
- Serginho 7.3
- Christian Makoun 7.3
- Reinaldo 7.1 1 goal
- Everton Bala 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Perr Schuurs at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- NEC Nijmegen: Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa League
- Levski Sofia: Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia Thursday 22 October 2026 · Europa League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia
What was the score in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski Sofia (half-time 0-1), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
Reinaldo 35', Tjaronn Chery 64'.
Did Moneyball predict NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50 at 1.78, and on 1-1 it lost.
Who was man of the match in NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
Tjaronn Chery, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
?. Ağayev.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.