Newcastle United vs Hull City: Prediction, Odds and Preview
EFL Cup · Saturday 19 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Newcastle United host Hull City in the EFL Cup on Saturday 19 September 2026. The bookmakers make Newcastle United clear favourites at 100%, with the draw at 0% and Hull City at 0%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (-34.6% on this market) is taken out.
Form in numbers
- Hull City create more: 1.05 expected goals a match against 1.03 for Newcastle United.
- Hull City give away less, 1.44 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Newcastle United 10.0 (3.6 on target), Hull City 12.0 (3.8 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Newcastle United 41.3%, Hull City 24.2%.
| Newcastle United | Per match | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.05 |
| 1.98 | xG conceded | 1.44 |
| 1.80 | Goals | 1.20 |
| 10.0 | Shots | 12.0 |
| 3.6 | Shots on target | 3.8 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 1.2 |
| 41.3 | Pressure share % | 24.2 |
| 13.8 | Tackles | 17.0 |
| 12.2 | Fouls | 10.0 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 3.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 1 meetings Newcastle United won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Newcastle United | 2 – 1 | Hull City |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. This match is one of the free picks of its schedule.
Open Newcastle United vs Hull City in the Match Centre Follow it live
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.