Nice 2-1 Strasbourg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Nice won it

Strasbourg struck first through Dário Essugo in the 41st minute, set up by Conrad Harder Weibel Schandorf. Nice levelled at 1-1 in the 45th minute (+2) through an own goal by Pape Demba Diop. Nice turned it round: Jonathan Clauss made it 2-1 in the 81st minute, set up by Sofiane Diop.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, J. Pignard, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Nice and 1 to Strasbourg.

Nice: O. Pantaloni, 3-4-2-1 · Strasbourg: H. Carvalho Oliveira, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Nice win the most likely outcome at 39%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-1 rather than 2-1.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 54%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 58%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The bookmakers, margin removed, had a Nice win at 41%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.80 for Nice and 1.12 for Strasbourg.

Nice scored about 1.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Nice had 6 shots on target, Strasbourg 3.

Strasbourg had 54% of the ball, but Nice took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Nice came into it with 6 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 0.99 expected goals for and 1.36 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Strasbourg came into it with 6 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.21 expected goals for and 1.93 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Nice vs Strasbourg: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jonathan Clauss (Nice), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Nice

• Jonathan Clauss 8.7 1 goal
• Youssouf Ndayishimiye 7.1
• Gauthier Hein 7.1
• Mohamed Abdelmonem 7.1
• Axel Witsel 7.0

Strasbourg

• Jeyland Mitchell 7.5
• Pape Demba Diop 7.5
• Dário Essugo 7.4 1 goal
• Filip Jørgensen 7.2
• Samuel Christian Osaze Amo-Ameyaw 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Elye Wahi at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Nice: Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice Sunday 18 October 2026 · Ligue 1
• Strasbourg: Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 17 October 2026 · Ligue 1

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Nice vs Strasbourg

What was the score in Nice vs Strasbourg?

Nice 2-1 Strasbourg (half-time 1-1), Ligue 1, Sunday 11 October 2026.

Who scored in Nice vs Strasbourg?

Dário Essugo 41', Jonathan Clauss 81'.

Did Moneyball predict Nice vs Strasbourg correctly?

The prediction got the result right. Before kick-off Moneyball made a Nice win the most likely outcome at 39%, and that is what happened, though the most likely score was 1-1 rather than 2-1.

Who was man of the match in Nice vs Strasbourg?

Jonathan Clauss, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Nice vs Strasbourg?

J. Pignard.