North Macedonia vs Switzerland: Prediction, Odds and Preview
UEFA Nations League B · Sunday 27 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
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North Macedonia host Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League B on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bookmakers make Switzerland clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 21% and North Macedonia at 13%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.8% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is North Macedonia +1.25 at 1.88, Switzerland at 1.81. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.86, under 1.80, which gives over 49%.
Form in numbers
- Switzerland create more: 1.62 expected goals a match against 1.41 for North Macedonia.
- Switzerland give away less, 0.90 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: North Macedonia 11.4 (– on target), Switzerland 10.6 (– on target).
| North Macedonia | Per match | Switzerland |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 |
| 1.94 | xG conceded | 0.90 |
| 0.75 | Goals | 2.10 |
| 11.4 | Shots | 10.6 |
| 20.0 | Tackles | 14.2 |
| 8.0 | Fouls | 12.1 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 0.9 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 30 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.