Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City: Prediction, Odds and Preview

EFL Cup · Saturday 19 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07

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Nottingham Forest host Coventry City in the EFL Cup on Saturday 19 September 2026. The bookmakers make Nottingham Forest clear favourites at 100%, with the draw at 0% and Coventry City at 0%, once the margin is taken out.

The odds

Nottingham Forest1.58100%

Draw–0%

Coventry City–0%

Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (-36.7% on this market) is taken out.

Form in numbers

Nottingham Forest create more: 1.50 expected goals a match against 0.84 for Coventry City.
Nottingham Forest give away less, 1.08 expected goals conceded a match.
Shots a match: Nottingham Forest 16.4 (3.4 on target), Coventry City 10.2 (3.2 on target).
Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Nottingham Forest 55.9%, Coventry City 36.3%.

Nottingham Forest	Per match	Coventry City
1.50	Expected goals (xG)	0.84
1.08	xG conceded	1.70
0.80	Goals	0.20
16.4	Shots	10.2
3.4	Shots on target	3.2
2.0	Big chances missed	1.2
55.9	Pressure share %	36.3
18.2	Tackles	9.0
15.0	Fouls	12.0
2.6	Yellow cards	0.8

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.

Head to head

In their last 1 meetings Nottingham Forest won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Nottingham Forest	0 – 1	Coventry City

Moneyball's pick

The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.