Olympiacos vs Sparta Praha Prediction and Betting Tips | UEFA Europa League Gameweek 3
UEFA Europa League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Olympiacos welcome Sparta Praha to Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki in Piraeus in UEFA Europa League Gameweek 3 action on Thursday 22 October 2026.
Olympiacos have played 2 matches in UEFA Europa League this season, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate. Sparta Praha have played 2 matches in UEFA Europa League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Olympiacos are narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 24% and Sparta Praha at 17%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.5% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Olympiacos -1 at 2.00, Sparta Praha at 1.89. The main goals line is 2.75: over 2.04, under 1.83, which gives over 47%.
Olympiacos: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.85 a match created (goals minus xG: -0.7).
- Shots: 10.5 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 50.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Sparta Praha: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.97 a match created (goals minus xG: +0.1).
- Shots: 7.5 a match, 2.0 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.59.
Olympiacos vs Sparta Praha: season averages side by side
| Olympiacos | Per match | Sparta Praha |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.97 |
| 0.50 | Goals | 1.00 |
| 10.5 | Shots | 7.5 |
| 3.5 | Shots on target | 2.0 |
| 1.0 | Big chances missed | 1.5 |
| 24.0 | Tackles | 10.5 |
| 15.0 | Fouls | 12.5 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 2 and 2 measured matches.
Olympiacos vs Sparta Praha prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.44 for Olympiacos and 1.02 for Sparta Praha - with over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 49%. Olympiacos have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Olympiacos 1-0 Sparta Praha
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Olympiacos vs Sparta Praha betting tips
- Tip 1: Olympiacos to win 59% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 56% by the model, 2.46 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Olympiacos vs Sparta Praha: questions and answers
When is Olympiacos vs Sparta Praha?
Olympiacos vs Sparta Praha is on Thursday 22 October 2026, in UEFA Europa League Gameweek 3.
Where is Olympiacos vs Sparta Praha played?
At Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus, Olympiacos's home ground.
Who will win Olympiacos vs Sparta Praha?
Olympiacos are the favourites: Olympiacos 59%, draw 24%, Sparta Praha 17%. Our prediction is Olympiacos 1-0 Sparta Praha.
How many goals will there be in Olympiacos vs Sparta Praha?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.