Paris FC vs Rennes Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Ligue 1 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-17
Paris FC welcome Rennes to Stade Jean Bouin in Paris in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7 action on Sunday 18 October 2026.
Paris FC have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. Rennes have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Paris FC 39%, the draw 28%, Rennes 33%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Paris FC 0 at 1.68, Rennes at 2.28. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.89, under 2.00, which gives over 51%.
Paris FC: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.54 a match created, 0.83 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.2).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 51.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.95.
Rennes: form and key numbers
In style Rennes cross a lot, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.82 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 17.0 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 52.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Paris FC vs Rennes: season averages side by side
| Paris FC | Per match | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.82 |
| 0.83 | xG conceded | 1.85 |
| 1.33 | Goals | 2.00 |
| 13.7 | Shots | 17.0 |
| 4.3 | Shots on target | 6.3 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 2.8 |
| 53.5 | Pressure share % | 50.8 |
| 18.3 | Tackles | 16.3 |
| 13.7 | Fouls | 13.0 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Paris FC vs Rennes: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Paris FC have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of the last 2 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Paris FC 1, Rennes 3 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Rennes 2-1 Paris FC (May 10th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings Paris FC won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Rennes | 2 – 1 | Paris FC |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Paris FC | 0 – 1 | Rennes |
Players to watch
Paris FC
- Pierre Lees-Melou DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 65 · Ball-winner, Long passer (top 4% of his position)
- Lassine Sinayoko CF · Pressing forward · Moneyball Score 63 · Chance creator, Gets into scoring positions (top 9% of his position)
Rennes
- Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 67 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 6% of his position)
- Przemyslaw Frankowski RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 62 · Creator, Chance creator (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mahamadou Nagida
Mahamadou Nagida, 21 · Rennes · LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 64
Mahamadou Nagida, 21, plays as a wing-back for Rennes in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in tackles and interceptions. Weakest in expected assists (est.). Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 79
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 75
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 4.44 / 90 | 98% |
| Interceptions | 2.37 / 90 | 98% |
| Duels won | 7.11 / 90 | 86% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.18 / 90 | 65% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.48 / 90 | 61% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Ball-winner, Reads the game, Duel winner.
- What Mahamadou Nagida is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mahamadou Nagida's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Paris FC vs Rennes prediction
Rennes should have more of the ball; Rennes work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.79 for Paris FC and 1.11 for Rennes - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 57%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Paris FC 1-1 Rennes
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Paris FC vs Rennes betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.90 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 17 October 2026
- Lille vs Brest Saturday 17 October 2026
- Troyes vs Lens Saturday 17 October 2026
- Angers vs Marseille Sunday 18 October 2026
- Le Havre vs Auxerre Sunday 18 October 2026
- Lorient vs AS Monaco Sunday 18 October 2026
Paris FC vs Rennes: questions and answers
When is Paris FC vs Rennes?
Paris FC vs Rennes is on Sunday 18 October 2026, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7.
Where is Paris FC vs Rennes played?
At Stade Jean Bouin, Paris, Paris FC's home ground.
Who will win Paris FC vs Rennes?
It is close: Paris FC 39%, draw 28%, Rennes 33%. Our prediction is Paris FC 1-1 Rennes.
Who is the player to watch in Paris FC vs Rennes?
Mahamadou Nagida of Rennes: a complete wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs Rennes?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.