Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Troyes: Result, Report and Stats
Ligue 1 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Paris Saint Germain 1 – 0 Troyes
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave Paris Saint Germain win 80%. The result went the way the consensus leaned.
- 1 goal in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Paris Saint Germain welcome Troyes to Parc des Princes in Paris in Ligue 1 action on Sunday 8 November 2026.
Paris Saint Germain have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 70% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 43% win rate. Troyes have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites at 80%, with the draw at 12% and Troyes at 8%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3.5 goals: 50%.
Paris Saint Germain: form and key numbers
In style Paris Saint Germain keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 2.28 a match created, 1.15 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.8).
- Shots: 19.3 a match, 7.8 on target.
- Possession: 68.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 70% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.10.
Troyes: form and key numbers
In style Troyes are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.23 a match created, 1.46 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.3).
- Shots: 13.1 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 37.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 30% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes: season averages side by side
| Paris Saint Germain | Per match | Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.23 |
| 1.15 | xG conceded | 1.46 |
| 2.20 | Goals | 0.70 |
| 19.3 | Shots | 13.1 |
| 7.8 | Shots on target | 3.3 |
| 3.4 | Big chances missed | 1.2 |
| 77.2 | Pressure share % | 47.4 |
| 15.3 | Tackles | 19.0 |
| 6.6 | Fouls | 12.3 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 10 and 10 measured matches.
Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Paris Saint Germain have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of the last 1 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Paris Saint Germain 1, Troyes 0 - 1.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Troyes (November 7th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 1 meetings Paris Saint Germain won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 – 0 | Troyes |
Players to watch
Paris Saint Germain
- Fabián Ruiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 82 · Ball circulator, Press-resistant (top 2% of his position)
- João Neves CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 79 · Ball-winner, Gets into scoring positions (top 2% of his position)
Troyes
- Anis Ouzenadji LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 65 · Dribbler, Reads the game (top 14% of his position)
- Hugo Picard LMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 58 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Désiré Doué
Désiré Doué, 21 · Paris Saint Germain · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 86
Désiré Doué, 21, plays as a winger for Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in shots and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 86
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 83
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 82
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 4.61 / 90 | 98% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.31 / 90 | 97% |
| Key passes | 2.56 / 90 | 96% |
| Big chances created | 0.51 / 90 | 96% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.85 / 90 | 92% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Creator, Chance creator.
- What Désiré Doué is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Désiré Doué's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes prediction
Paris Saint Germain should have more of the ball, with Troyes likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Paris Saint Germain like to take players on; Troyes work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 2.33 for Paris Saint Germain and 0.81 for Troyes - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 51%. Paris Saint Germain have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Troyes
Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes: what the numbers say
- 1. Paris Saint Germain win, the likeliest result 80% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 3 or more goals 61% by the model, 3.15 goals expected
- 3. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 2.8 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 11.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes: questions and answers
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?
Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes is on Sunday 8 November 2026, in Ligue 1.
Where is Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes played?
At Parc des Princes, Paris, Paris Saint Germain's home ground.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?
Paris Saint Germain are the favourites: Paris Saint Germain 80%, draw 12%, Troyes 8%. Our prediction is Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Troyes.
Who is the player to watch in Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?
Désiré Doué of Paris Saint Germain: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 86 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.