Parma Calcio 1–2 Bologna: Result, Report and Stats
Serie A · Sunday 8 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Result: Parma Calcio 1 – 2 Bologna
- Before kick-off the pre-match consensus gave Bologna win 55%. The result went the way the consensus leaned.
- 3 goals in the match.
Every prediction on this page was published before kick-off and is left as it was. Moneyball's own model reading of this match, and how it compared with the result, is in Match Live.
Parma Calcio welcome Bologna to Stadio Ennio Tardini in Parma in Serie A action on Sunday 8 November 2026.
Parma Calcio have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 18% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Bologna have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 45% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 80% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Bologna are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 26% and Parma Calcio at 19%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.25 goals: 51%.
Parma Calcio: form and key numbers
In style Parma Calcio are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.94 a match created, 1.94 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.4).
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 40.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Bologna: form and key numbers
In style Bologna cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.63 a match created, 1.23 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.0).
- Shots: 13.6 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Parma Calcio vs Bologna: season averages side by side
| Parma Calcio | Per match | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.63 |
| 1.94 | xG conceded | 1.23 |
| 0.82 | Goals | 1.45 |
| 10.0 | Shots | 13.6 |
| 3.2 | Shots on target | 4.5 |
| 1.0 | Big chances missed | 1.8 |
| 27.8 | Pressure share % | 47.7 |
| 15.0 | Tackles | 16.3 |
| 10.6 | Fouls | 13.1 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 11 and 11 measured matches.
Parma Calcio vs Bologna: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Parma Calcio have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Parma Calcio 5, Bologna 5 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Parma Calcio 1-2 Bologna (November 7th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Parma Calcio won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Parma Calcio | 1 – 2 | Bologna |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Bologna | 0 – 1 | Parma Calcio |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Parma Calcio | 1 – 3 | Bologna |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Parma Calcio | 2 – 0 | Bologna |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Bologna | 0 – 0 | Parma Calcio |
Players to watch
Parma Calcio
- Giovanni Daffara GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 63 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 3% of his position)
- Edoardo Corvi GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 62 · Shot-stopper, Dominant in the air (top 30% of his position)
Bologna
- Lewis Ferguson CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 65 · Secure passer, Ball circulator (top 5% of his position)
- Eivind Helland CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 63 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Federico Bernardeschi
Federico Bernardeschi, 32 · Bologna · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 69
Federico Bernardeschi, 32, plays as a winger for Bologna in Serie A. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 69
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 63
- LW · Winger Competent, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.36 / 90 | 88% |
| Shots | 3.22 / 90 | 88% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.26 / 90 | 88% |
| Big chances created | 0.46 / 90 | 77% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.24 / 90 | 71% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume, Crosser.
- What Federico Bernardeschi is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Federico Bernardeschi's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Parma Calcio vs Bologna prediction
Bologna should have more of the ball, with Parma Calcio likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Parma Calcio go long and direct; Bologna work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.00 for Parma Calcio and 1.53 for Bologna - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 50%. Bologna have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Parma Calcio 1-2 Bologna
Parma Calcio vs Bologna: what the numbers say
- 1. Bologna unbeaten (win or draw) 81% between them
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 54% by the model, 2.53 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.5 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Parma Calcio vs Bologna: questions and answers
When is Parma Calcio vs Bologna?
Parma Calcio vs Bologna is on Sunday 8 November 2026, in Serie A.
Where is Parma Calcio vs Bologna played?
At Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma, Parma Calcio's home ground.
Who will win Parma Calcio vs Bologna?
Bologna are the favourites: Parma Calcio 19%, draw 26%, Bologna 55%. Our prediction is Parma Calcio 1-2 Bologna.
Who is the player to watch in Parma Calcio vs Bologna?
Federico Bernardeschi of Bologna: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Parma Calcio vs Bologna?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.