Parma Calcio vs Torino Prediction and Betting Tips | Serie A Gameweek 7
Serie A · Monday 19 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Parma Calcio welcome Torino to Stadio Ennio Tardini in Parma in Serie A Gameweek 7 action on Monday 19 October 2026.
Parma Calcio have played 5 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate. Torino have played 5 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Parma Calcio 32%, the draw 30%, Torino 38%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Parma Calcio +0.25 at 1.78, Torino at 2.14. The main goals line is 2.25: over 2.05, under 1.83, which gives over 47%.
Parma Calcio: form and key numbers
In style Parma Calcio are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.82 a match created, 1.50 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.1).
- Shots: 8.2 a match, 2.8 on target.
- Possession: 42.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.69.
Torino: form and key numbers
In style Torino keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 0.94 a match created, 1.84 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 9.4 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 53.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Parma Calcio vs Torino: season averages side by side
| Parma Calcio | Per match | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.94 |
| 1.50 | xG conceded | 1.84 |
| 0.80 | Goals | 1.00 |
| 8.2 | Shots | 9.4 |
| 2.8 | Shots on target | 3.0 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 2.2 |
| 29.5 | Pressure share % | 42.5 |
| 12.0 | Tackles | 14.2 |
| 11.0 | Fouls | 9.4 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 0.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Players to watch
Parma Calcio
- Edoardo Corvi GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 55 · Shot-stopper, Secure passer (top 17% of his position)
- Emanuele Valeri LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 49 · Creator, Crosser (top 13% of his position)
Torino
- Kian Fitz-Jim CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 54 · Dribbler, Creator (top 7% of his position)
- Eray Cömert CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 46 · Ball circulator, Ball-winner (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Saúl Coco
Saúl Coco, 27 · Torino · CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 55
Saúl Coco, 27, plays as a centre-back for Torino in Serie A. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and passes. Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 57
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 55
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 94% |
| Passes | 68.63 / 90 | 79% |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 71% |
| Clearances | 5.85 / 90 | 65% |
| Long balls | 2.92 / 90 | 65% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back
Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past.
- What Saúl Coco is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Parma Calcio vs Torino prediction
Torino should have more of the ball, with Parma Calcio likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Parma Calcio go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.33 for Parma Calcio and 1.08 for Torino - with over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 49%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Parma Calcio 1-1 Torino
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Parma Calcio vs Torino betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 57% by the model, 2.40 goals expected
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 6.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Parma Calcio vs Torino: questions and answers
When is Parma Calcio vs Torino?
Parma Calcio vs Torino is on Monday 19 October 2026, in Serie A Gameweek 7.
Where is Parma Calcio vs Torino played?
At Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma, Parma Calcio's home ground.
Who will win Parma Calcio vs Torino?
It is close: Parma Calcio 32%, draw 30%, Torino 38%. Our prediction is Parma Calcio 1-1 Torino.
Who is the player to watch in Parma Calcio vs Torino?
Saúl Coco of Torino: a ball-playing centre-back with a Moneyball Score of 55 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Parma Calcio vs Torino?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Tags
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