Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction and Stats
Super League · Saturday 7 November 2026 · played · updated 2026-11-13
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
Persija Jakarta welcome Persebaya Surabaya in Super League action on Saturday 7 November 2026.
Persija Jakarta have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Persebaya Surabaya have played 9 matches in Super League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 0.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On the pre-match consensus, Persija Jakarta are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 25% and Persebaya Surabaya at 21%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.75 goals: 49%.
Persebaya Surabaya: form and key numbers
In style Persebaya Surabaya keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Shots: 12.1 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 55.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.60.
Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya: season averages side by side
| Persija Jakarta | Per match | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 1.10 |
| – | Goals | 1.11 |
| – | Shots | 12.1 |
| – | Shots on target | 3.7 |
| – | Big chances missed | 0.6 |
| – | Pressure share % | 66.7 |
| – | Tackles | 1.2 |
| – | Fouls | 8.9 |
| – | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
Persebaya Surabaya
- Ernando Ari GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 3% of his position)
- Reza Arya Pratama GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 3% of his position)
Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals - 1.13 for Persija Jakarta and 1.08 for Persebaya Surabaya - with over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 46%. Persija Jakarta have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Persija Jakarta 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya
Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya: what the numbers say
- 1. Persija Jakarta unbeaten (win or draw) 79% between them
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 62% by the model, 2.21 goals expected
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya: questions and answers
When is Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya is on Saturday 7 November 2026, in Super League.
Who will win Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persija Jakarta are the favourites: Persija Jakarta 54%, draw 25%, Persebaya Surabaya 21%. Our prediction is Persija Jakarta 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya.
How many goals will there be in Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 38%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.