Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: Prediction, Odds and Preview
UEFA Nations League B · Saturday 26 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-07
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Poland host Bosnia and Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League B on Saturday 26 September 2026. The bookmakers make Poland narrow favourites at 56%, with the draw at 25% and Bosnia and Herzegovina at 19%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.4% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Poland -0.75 at 1.75, Bosnia and Herzegovina at 1.93. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.85, under 1.81, which gives over 49%.
Form in numbers
- Poland create more: 2.30 expected goals a match against 1.74 for Bosnia and Herzegovina.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina give away less, 1.51 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Poland 15.5 (– on target), Bosnia and Herzegovina 13.9 (– on target).
| Poland | Per match | Bosnia and Herzegovina |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.74 |
| 1.54 | xG conceded | 1.51 |
| 1.88 | Goals | 1.46 |
| 15.5 | Shots | 13.9 |
| 11.0 | Tackles | 15.3 |
| 17.5 | Fouls | 16.3 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 14 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.