Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 10
La Liga · Saturday 24 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Racing Santander welcome RCD Espanyol to Campos de Sport de El Sardinero in Santander in La Liga Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 24 October 2026.
Racing Santander have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.9 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. RCD Espanyol have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Racing Santander 37%, the draw 28%, RCD Espanyol 36%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Racing Santander 0 at 1.93, RCD Espanyol at 1.98. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.94, under 1.94, which gives over 50%.
Racing Santander: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.33 a match created, 2.13 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.3).
- Shots: 11.5 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 48.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.67.
RCD Espanyol: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.32 a match created, 1.20 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.9).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 46.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.3 a match.
- Discipline: 3.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol: season averages side by side
| Racing Santander | Per match | RCD Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.32 |
| 2.13 | xG conceded | 1.20 |
| 1.63 | Goals | 1.22 |
| 11.5 | Shots | 12.7 |
| 4.9 | Shots on target | 3.7 |
| 1.0 | Big chances missed | 0.9 |
| 42.3 | Pressure share % | 41.8 |
| 19.4 | Tackles | 16.4 |
| 14.4 | Fouls | 16.1 |
| 2.6 | Yellow cards | 3.1 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 9 measured matches.
Players to watch
Racing Santander
- Iñigo Vicente LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 59 · Chance creator, Creator (top 2% of his position)
- Pablo Ramón CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 57 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 4% of his position)
RCD Espanyol
- Edu Expósito CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 61 · Dribbler, Creator (top 6% of his position)
- Roberto Fernández CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 60 · Takes high-quality shots, Clinical finisher (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yassir Zabiri
Yassir Zabiri, 21 · Racing Santander · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 64
Yassir Zabiri, 21, plays as a centre-forward for Racing Santander in La Liga. Strongest for his role in goals and big chances missed. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 / 90 | 98% |
| Big chances missed | 0.00 / 90 | 94% |
| Shots on target | 65% | 93% |
| Expected goals | 0.62 / 90 | 80% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 xG/shot | 78% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Clinical finisher, Rarely wastes a big chance, Accurate shooter.
⚠ 7 goals from only 3.3 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Yassir Zabiri is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yassir Zabiri's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol prediction
Racing Santander should have more of the ball. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.46 for Racing Santander and 1.77 for RCD Espanyol - with over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 64%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Racing Santander 1-1 RCD Espanyol
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 37%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 63% by the model, 3.22 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 64% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol: questions and answers
When is Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol?
Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol is on Saturday 24 October 2026, in La Liga Gameweek 10.
Where is Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol played?
At Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander, Racing Santander's home ground.
Who will win Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol?
It is close: Racing Santander 37%, draw 28%, RCD Espanyol 36%. Our prediction is Racing Santander 1-1 RCD Espanyol.
Who is the player to watch in Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol?
Yassir Zabiri of Racing Santander: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs RCD Espanyol?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.