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Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia

Racing Santander and Valencia drew 2-2 in La Liga Matchday 8 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero. The goals: Dani Raba 2', Yassir Zabiri 32', Iván Martín 47', David Otorbi 65'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 2nd minute: Dani Raba for Valencia, set up by Justin de Haas. Racing Santander levelled at 1-1 in the 32nd minute through Yassir Zabiri, set up by Iñigo Vicente. Racing Santander turned it round: Iván Martín made it 2-1 in the 47th minute, set up by Jorge Salinas. Valencia levelled at 2-2 in the 65th minute through David Otorbi, set up by Javi Guerra.

It was 1-1 at half-time.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, L. Bestard Servera, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Racing Santander and 3 to Valencia.

Racing Santander: J. López Menéndez, 4-1-4-1 · Valencia: J. Aguirre Onaindía, 5-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A miss for the model: 47% for a Racing Santander win, 24% for a draw, and football chose the second. At 24%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.58 for Racing Santander and 1.15 for Valencia.

Racing Santander had 11 shots on target, Valencia 2.

Valencia's goalkeeper made 9 saves.

Racing Santander had 54% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Racing Santander came into it with 8 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.9 a match, with 1.33 expected goals for and 2.13 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Valencia came into it with 8 La Liga matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 0.98 expected goals for and 1.54 against, and had won 13% of their matches.

Racing Santander vs Valencia: the match in numbers

Racing SantanderMatch statisticsValencia
54%Ball possession46%
1.58Expected goals (xG)1.15
20Total shots10
11Shots on target2
1Big chances5
524Total passes453
85%Pass accuracy77%
8Corners3
15Fouls10
1Offsides1
15Tackles15
0Saves9
3Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Iñigo Vicente (Racing Santander), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Racing Santander

Valencia

The lowest-rated starter was Álvaro Mantilla at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Racing Santander vs Valencia

What was the score in Racing Santander vs Valencia?

Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia (half-time 1-1), La Liga, Sunday 11 October 2026.

Who scored in Racing Santander vs Valencia?

Dani Raba 2', Yassir Zabiri 32', Iván Martín 47', David Otorbi 65'.

Did Moneyball predict Racing Santander vs Valencia correctly?

A miss for the model: 47% for a Racing Santander win, 24% for a draw, and football chose the second. At 24%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

Who was man of the match in Racing Santander vs Valencia?

Iñigo Vicente, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Racing Santander vs Valencia?

L. Bestard Servera.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.