RB Leipzig 5-2 FC Augsburg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 9 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · referee D. Schlager · full time
Full time: RB Leipzig 5-2 FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig 5-2 FC Augsburg: RB Leipzig took the points in Bundesliga Matchday 9 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Red Bull Arena. The goals: Anton Kade 1', Ezechiel Banzuzi 34', Christopher Nkunku 35', David Raum 45+1', Rômulo 60', Christoph Baumgartner 66', Uchenna Ogundu 90+2'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How RB Leipzig won it
Anton Kade put FC Augsburg ahead in the 1st minute. RB Leipzig levelled at 1-1 in the 34th minute through Ezechiel Banzuzi, set up by Brajan Gruda. RB Leipzig turned it round: Christopher Nkunku made it 2-1 in the 35th minute, set up by Brajan Gruda. David Raum made it 3-1 to RB Leipzig in the 45th minute (+1). Rômulo made it 4-1 to RB Leipzig in the 60th minute, set up by Christopher Nkunku. Christoph Baumgartner made it 5-1 to RB Leipzig in the 66th minute, set up by Antonio Nusa. Uchenna Ogundu made it 5-2 to FC Augsburg in the 90th minute (+2), set up by Fabian Rieder.
It was 3-1 at half-time.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, D. Schlager, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to RB Leipzig and 2 to FC Augsburg.
RB Leipzig: M. Demichelis, 4-2-3-1 · FC Augsburg: M. Baum, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, RB Leipzig Win, was right: 5-2 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a RB Leipzig win at 69%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 3-1 (8%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 4.5 goals and there were 7.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 79%; with 7 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 74%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a RB Leipzig win at 67%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.43 for RB Leipzig and 2.71 for FC Augsburg.
RB Leipzig scored about 3.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
FC Augsburg created the better chances, 2.71 xG to 1.43, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected RB Leipzig to create more, and FC Augsburg did.
RB Leipzig had 7 shots on target, FC Augsburg 8.
RB Leipzig's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
RB Leipzig had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
RB Leipzig came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 2.37 expected goals for and 1.37 against, and had won 67% of their matches.
FC Augsburg came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 2.01 expected goals for and 2.70 against, and had won 22% of their matches.
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: the match in numbers
| RB Leipzig | Match statistics | FC Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| 65% | Ball possession | 35% |
| 1.43 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.71 |
| 17 | Total shots | 13 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 3 | Big chances | 5 |
| 754 | Total passes | 403 |
| 90% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Offsides | 4 |
| 11 | Tackles | 28 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Brajan Gruda (RB Leipzig), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 assists.
RB Leipzig
- Brajan Gruda 8.7 2 assists
- Christopher Nkunku 8.1 1 goal, 1 assist
- David Raum 8.0 1 goal
- Maarten Vandevoordt 7.9
- Ezechiel Banzuzi 7.4 1 goal
FC Augsburg
- Anton Kade 7.8 1 goal
- Uchenna Ogundu 7.4 1 goal
- Rodrigo Ribeiro 6.9
- Tim Schnitzer 6.8
- Hennes Behrens 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Finn Dahmen at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- RB Leipzig: FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- FC Augsburg: FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Sunday 22 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg
What was the score in RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
RB Leipzig 5-2 FC Augsburg (half-time 3-1), Bundesliga, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
Anton Kade 1', Ezechiel Banzuzi 34', Christopher Nkunku 35', David Raum 45+1', Rômulo 60', Christoph Baumgartner 66', Uchenna Ogundu 90+2'.
Did Moneyball predict RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, RB Leipzig Win, was right: 5-2 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
Brajan Gruda, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
D. Schlager.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.